Bolivia vs Ecuador: result 1-2 and analysis
World Cup - Qualification South AmericaGroup Stage - 3Kick-off on October 12, 2023 at 11:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Hernando Siles, La Paz
Full time
What was the result of Bolivia vs Ecuador?
Ecuador won 1-2 on October 12, 2023.
Goalscorers
- 45′K. PáezEcuador
- 83′R. RamalloBolivia
- 90′K. RodríguezEcuador
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Bolivia have 3 wins, 1 draws and 11 defeats; Ecuador have 7, 5 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 12, 2023 | Argentina(home) | 0-3 | World Cup - Qualification South America |
| Sep 9, 2023 | Brazil(away) | 1-5 | World Cup - Qualification South America |
| Aug 27, 2023 | Panama(home) | 1-2 | Friendlies |
| Jun 21, 2023 | Chile(home) | 0-0 | Friendlies |
| Jun 17, 2023 | Ecuador(away) | 0-1 | Friendlies |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 12, 2023 | Uruguay(home) | 2-1 | World Cup - Qualification South America |
| Sep 8, 2023 | Argentina(away) | 0-1 | World Cup - Qualification South America |
| Jun 21, 2023 | Costa Rica(home) | 3-1 | Friendlies |
| Jun 21, 2023 | Costa Rica(away) | 3-1 | Friendlies |
| Jun 17, 2023 | Bolivia(home) | 1-0 | Friendlies |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 0 Bolivia win(s), 1 draw(s), 5 Ecuador win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jun 17, 2023 | Ecuador 1-0 Bolivia | Friendlies |
| Oct 8, 2021 | Ecuador 3-0 Bolivia | World Cup - Qualification South America |
| Mar 29, 2021 | Ecuador 2-1 Bolivia | Friendlies |
| Nov 12, 2020 | Bolivia 2-3 Ecuador | World Cup - Qualification South America |
| Sep 11, 2019 | Ecuador 3-0 Bolivia | Friendlies |
| Oct 11, 2016 | Bolivia 2-2 Ecuador | World Cup - Qualification South America |
How many goals should we expect?
Bolivia score 1.0 and concede 2.0 goals per match over their last 15; Ecuador score 1.1 and concede 0.7.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bolivia | 1.0 | 2.0 | 3 | 5/15 | 10/15 |
| Ecuador | 1.1 | 0.7 | 7 | 7/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Bolivia sit 7th in World Cup - Qualification South America (20 points from 18 matches) and Ecuador sit 2nd (29 points from 18 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Ecuador | 18 | 8 | 8 | 2 | 14 | 5 | 29 |
| 7 | Bolivia | 18 | 6 | 2 | 10 | 17 | 35 | 20 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy