Match

Ariana vs EM Mahdia: result 0-1 and analysis

Ligue 2Regular Season - 2Kick-off on October 26, 2024 at 01:30 PM (UTC)Stade Municipal d'Ariana, Ariana

Ariana

0-1

EM Mahdia

Full time

What was the result of Ariana vs EM Mahdia?

EM Mahdia won 0-1 on October 26, 2024.

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Ariana have 8 wins, 1 draws and 6 defeats; EM Mahdia have 7, 1 and 7.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Ariana
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Oct 19, 2024	ES Hammam-Sousse(home)	0-1	Ligue 2
Jun 14, 2024	Jendouba Sport(away)	1-3	Ligue 2
Jun 8, 2024	ES Hammam-Sousse(home)	1-2	Ligue 2
May 31, 2024	Korba(away)	1-2	Ligue 2
May 26, 2024	Sporting Ben Arous(home)	3-1	Ligue 2

EM Mahdia
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Oct 19, 2024	Korba(home)	0-1	Ligue 2
Jun 13, 2024	AS Gabes(away)	1-1	Ligue 2
Jun 7, 2024	ES Zarzis(home)	0-3	Ligue 2
Jun 1, 2024	AS Rejiche(home)	4-1	Ligue 2
May 25, 2024	Rogba Tataouine(away)	2-1	Ligue 2

How many goals should we expect?

Ariana score 1.6 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 15; EM Mahdia score 1.4 and concede 1.4.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Ariana	1.6	1.2	3	10/15	10/15
EM Mahdia	1.4	1.4	2	7/15	8/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Ariana sit 8th in Ligue 2 (32 points from 26 matches) and EM Mahdia sit 11th (28 points from 26 matches).

2025-26 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
8	Ariana	26	8	8	10	26	32	32
11	EM Mahdia	26	6	10	10	18	25	28

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy