Aris vs Apoel Nicosia: prediction and stats
1. DivisionMatchday 22Kick-off on February 6, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Alphamega Stadium, Kolossi
The Footlab AI model makes Apoel Nicosia the favourite at 40%, against 26% for a draw and 34% for Aris. The most likely score is 1-1. If Apoel Nicosia wins, the most likely score is 1-2.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.3% of the 5,832 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Nov 14, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Aris vs Apoel Nicosia?
A very open match: only 1 Elo point separates Aris (1,898) and Apoel Nicosia (1,899).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Aris vs Apoel Nicosia
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Aris
4-2-3-1- 11R. Effaghe
- 70C. El Allachi
- 8C. Charalampous
- 22V. Nikolić
- 30Gustavo Pajé
- 6A. Opoku
- 17M. Matysik
- 20S. Yago
- 24G. Kalulu
- 7Anderson Correia
- 91M. Zadro
Apoel Nicosia
4-2-3-1- 15F. Pedrozo
- 8Dálcio
- 18D. Limnios
- 9A. Bakasetas
- 10Marquinhos
- 72A. Barák
- 34K. Laifis
- 3K. Stafylidis
- 16Álvaro Carrillo
- 25Joan Sastre
- 27V. Belec
Computed on November 14, 2026 at 03:35 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Aris have 6 wins, 3 draws and 6 defeats; Apoel Nicosia have 7, 3 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 8, 2026 | Apoel Nicosia(away) | 1-3 | 1. Division |
| Nov 1, 2026 | Anorthosis(home) | 2-1 | 1. Division |
| Oct 25, 2026 | AEL(away) | 3-1 | 1. Division |
| Oct 18, 2026 | AEK Larnaca(home) | 1-1 | 1. Division |
| Oct 14, 2026 | Ethnikos Achna(home) | 4-0 | Cup |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 8, 2026 | Aris(home) | 3-1 | 1. Division |
| Nov 1, 2026 | Omonia Aradippou(away) | 2-1 | 1. Division |
| Oct 28, 2026 | Halkanoras(home) | 5-2 | Cup |
| Oct 25, 2026 | Omonia 29is Maiou(home) | 4-1 | 1. Division |
| Oct 19, 2026 | Pafos(away) | 0-0 | 1. Division |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Aris win, 0 draws, 5 Apoel Nicosia wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Nov 8, 2026 | Apoel Nicosia 3-1 Aris | 1. Division |
| May 6, 2026 | Aris 1-0 Apoel Nicosia | 1. Division |
| Apr 5, 2026 | Apoel Nicosia 2-1 Aris | 1. Division |
| Mar 15, 2026 | Aris 1-2 Apoel Nicosia | 1. Division |
| Dec 7, 2025 | Apoel Nicosia 2-0 Aris | 1. Division |
| Apr 22, 2025 | Apoel Nicosia 2-1 Aris | 1. Division |
How many goals should we expect?
Aris score 1.7 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Apoel Nicosia score 2.1 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 55% probability of over 2.5 goals and 59% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aris | 1.7 | 1.5 | 4 | 10/15 | 10/15 |
| Apoel Nicosia | 2.1 | 1.5 | 2 | 11/15 | 13/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Aris sit 7th in 1. Division (15 points from 9 matches) and Apoel Nicosia sit 4th (17 points from 9 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Apoel Nicosia | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 21 | 11 | 17 |
| 7 | Aris | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 13 | 13 | 15 |
A question about Aris vs Apoel Nicosia?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Aris vs Apoel Nicosia?
- The Footlab AI model makes Apoel Nicosia the favourite at 40%, against 26% for a draw and 34% for Aris.
- Where and when is Aris vs Apoel Nicosia played?
- Aris vs Apoel Nicosia is played on February 6, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Alphamega Stadium, in the 1. Division.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 55% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.3% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.