Karmiotissa vs AEK Larnaca: prediction and stats
1. DivisionRegular Season - 22Kick-off on February 6, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Dimotiko Stadio Pano Polemidias, Pano Polemidia
The Footlab AI model makes AEK Larnaca the favourite at 66%, against 21% for a draw and 13% for Karmiotissa. The most likely score is 0-2.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.4% of the 2,576 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 17, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Karmiotissa vs AEK Larnaca?
AEK Larnaca is a heavy favourite: 2,048 Elo points against 1,736, a 312-point gap.
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Karmiotissa vs AEK Larnaca
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Karmiotissa
4-3-2-1- 9Patrick Luan
- 21P. Psychas
- 8Curtis Yebli
- 20Marios Kokkinoftas
- 77P. Tachtsidis
- 7M. Bajunovic
- 4S. Dembélé
- 6C. Wheeler
- 33Julio Cesar
- 22Rubén García
- 1Nikolaos Giannakopoulos
AEK Larnaca
4-2-3-1- 11R. Bajić
- 14A. Layouni
- 7Gus Ledes
- 20J. Repas
- 9Đ. Ivanović
- 6I. Pankov
- 15H. Miličević
- 3M. van der Hoorn
- 17K. Pileas
- 23S. Köhler
- 92A. Paleari
Computed on October 17, 2026 at 01:56 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Karmiotissa have 6 wins, 6 draws and 3 defeats; AEK Larnaca have 9, 3 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 9, 2026 | Omonia Nicosia(home) | 0-3 | 1. Division |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Aris(away) | 0-0 | 1. Division |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Omonia Aradippou(home) | 1-1 | 1. Division |
| Sep 4, 2026 | Omonia 29is Maiou(away) | 2-2 | 1. Division |
| Aug 30, 2026 | Pafos(home) | 0-3 | 1. Division |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 12, 2026 | Omonia Aradippou(home) | 1-0 | 1. Division |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Apollon Limassol(home) | 3-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Nea Salamis(home) | 2-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Sep 18, 2026 | Omonia 29is Maiou(away) | 2-1 | 1. Division |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Pafos(home) | 0-1 | 1. Division |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 0 Karmiotissa wins, 0 draws, 6 AEK Larnaca wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 22, 2025 | Karmiotissa 0-3 AEK Larnaca | 1. Division |
| Nov 25, 2024 | AEK Larnaca 2-0 Karmiotissa | 1. Division |
| Jan 26, 2024 | Karmiotissa 1-3 AEK Larnaca | 1. Division |
| Oct 21, 2023 | AEK Larnaca 5-0 Karmiotissa | 1. Division |
| Feb 4, 2023 | Karmiotissa 1-3 AEK Larnaca | 1. Division |
| Oct 30, 2022 | AEK Larnaca 4-0 Karmiotissa | 1. Division |
Last archived meeting: Karmiotissa vs AEK Larnaca on Feb 22, 2025
How many goals should we expect?
Karmiotissa score 1.7 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; AEK Larnaca score 1.8 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 55% probability of over 2.5 goals and 49% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Karmiotissa | 1.7 | 1.1 | 6 | 6/15 | 9/15 |
| AEK Larnaca | 1.8 | 1.1 | 3 | 9/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Karmiotissa sit 12th in 1. Division (3 points from 5 matches) and AEK Larnaca sit 1st (12 points from 5 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | AEK Larnaca | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 4 | 12 |
| 12 | Karmiotissa | 5 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 9 | 3 |
A question about Karmiotissa vs AEK Larnaca?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Karmiotissa vs AEK Larnaca?
- The Footlab AI model makes AEK Larnaca the favourite at 66%, against 21% for a draw and 13% for Karmiotissa.
- Where and when is Karmiotissa vs AEK Larnaca played?
- Karmiotissa vs AEK Larnaca is played on February 6, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Dimotiko Stadio Pano Polemidias, in the 1. Division.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 55% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.4% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.