Karmiotissa vs AEK Larnaca: prediction and stats
1. DivisionRegular Season - 22Kick-off on February 6, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Dimotiko Stadio Pano Polemidias, Pano Polemidia
The Footlab model makes AEK Larnaca the favourite at 49%, against 26% for a draw and 25% for Karmiotissa. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Karmiotissa vs AEK Larnaca?
AEK Larnaca starts as the favourite with a 286-point Elo edge (2,011 vs 1,725).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Karmiotissa have 9 wins, 5 draws and 1 defeats; AEK Larnaca have 6, 5 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 24, 2026 | PAEEK(away) | 0-0 | 2. Division |
| Apr 19, 2026 | Nea Salamis(home) | 1-0 | 2. Division |
| Apr 4, 2026 | ASIL Lysi(away) | 6-2 | 2. Division |
| Mar 21, 2026 | MEAP Nisou(home) | 1-0 | 2. Division |
| Mar 18, 2026 | Ayia Napa(home) | 3-0 | 2. Division |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 8, 2026 | Omonia Aradippou(home) | 0-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 30, 2026 | Beitar Jerusalem(away) | 3-2 | UEFA Europa Conference League |
| Jul 23, 2026 | Beitar Jerusalem(home) | 0-1 | UEFA Europa Conference League |
| Jul 16, 2026 | Apollon Limassol(away) | 0-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 4, 2026 | Helmond Sport(away) | 2-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 0 Karmiotissa win(s), 0 draw(s), 6 AEK Larnaca win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 22, 2025 | Karmiotissa 0-3 AEK Larnaca | 1. Division |
| Nov 25, 2024 | AEK Larnaca 2-0 Karmiotissa | 1. Division |
| Jan 26, 2024 | Karmiotissa 1-3 AEK Larnaca | 1. Division |
| Oct 21, 2023 | AEK Larnaca 5-0 Karmiotissa | 1. Division |
| Feb 4, 2023 | Karmiotissa 1-3 AEK Larnaca | 1. Division |
| Oct 30, 2022 | AEK Larnaca 4-0 Karmiotissa | 1. Division |
Last archived meeting: Karmiotissa vs AEK Larnaca on Feb 22, 2025
How many goals should we expect?
Karmiotissa score 2.1 and concede 0.7 goals per match over their last 15; AEK Larnaca score 1.2 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 49% probability of over 2.5 goals and 53% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Karmiotissa | 2.1 | 0.7 | 7 | 7/15 | 7/15 |
| AEK Larnaca | 1.2 | 1.1 | 4 | 7/15 | 4/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | AEK Larnaca | 36 | 20 | 9 | 7 | 62 | 33 | 69 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Karmiotissa vs AEK Larnaca?
- The Footlab model makes AEK Larnaca the favourite at 49%, against 26% for a draw and 25% for Karmiotissa.
- Where and when is Karmiotissa vs AEK Larnaca played?
- Karmiotissa vs AEK Larnaca is played on February 6, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Dimotiko Stadio Pano Polemidias, in the 1. Division.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 49% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.