Aris vs Olympiakos: prediction and stats
1. DivisionRegular Season - 18Kick-off on January 12, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Alphamega Stadium, Kolossi
The Footlab model makes Aris the favourite at 60%, against 23% for a draw and 17% for Olympiakos. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Aris vs Olympiakos?
Aris starts as the favourite with a 157-point Elo edge (1,912 vs 1,755).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Aris have 4 wins, 2 draws and 9 defeats; Olympiakos have 6, 2 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 9, 2026 | Union Berlin(away) | 2-3 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 30, 2026 | Atromitos(away) | 0-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 18, 2026 | Legia Warszawa(away) | 2-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| May 22, 2026 | AEK Larnaca(home) | 3-4 | 1. Division |
| May 16, 2026 | Apollon Limassol(away) | 2-3 | 1. Division |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 15, 2026 | Anorthosis(home) | 1-0 | 1. Division |
| May 9, 2026 | AEL(away) | 3-1 | 1. Division |
| May 1, 2026 | Omonia Aradippou(home) | 2-1 | 1. Division |
| Apr 26, 2026 | Ethnikos Achna(away) | 1-2 | 1. Division |
| Apr 19, 2026 | Akritas(home) | 0-1 | 1. Division |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 4 Aris win(s), 2 draw(s), 0 Olympiakos win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jan 4, 2026 | Olympiakos 0-0 Aris | 1. Division |
| Sep 15, 2025 | Aris 2-0 Olympiakos | 1. Division |
| Dec 16, 2022 | Olympiakos 0-0 Aris | 1. Division |
| Sep 2, 2022 | Aris 5-0 Olympiakos | 1. Division |
| Dec 3, 2021 | Aris 1-0 Olympiakos | 1. Division |
| Aug 22, 2021 | Olympiakos 1-2 Aris | 1. Division |
How many goals should we expect?
Aris score 1.5 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Olympiakos score 1.1 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 54% probability of over 2.5 goals and 52% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aris | 1.5 | 1.7 | 4 | 7/15 | 9/15 |
| Olympiakos | 1.1 | 1.5 | 3 | 8/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Aris sit 6th in 1. Division (51 points from 36 matches) and Olympiakos sit 11th (40 points from 33 matches).
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Aris | 36 | 14 | 9 | 13 | 61 | 45 | 51 |
| 11 | Olympiakos | 33 | 10 | 10 | 13 | 32 | 44 | 40 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Aris vs Olympiakos?
- The Footlab model makes Aris the favourite at 60%, against 23% for a draw and 17% for Olympiakos.
- Where and when is Aris vs Olympiakos played?
- Aris vs Olympiakos is played on January 12, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Alphamega Stadium, in the 1. Division.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 54% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.