Aris vs Olympiakos: prediction and stats
1. DivisionRegular Season - 18Kick-off on January 12, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Alphamega Stadium, Kolossi
The Footlab AI model makes Aris the favourite at 57%, against 24% for a draw and 19% for Olympiakos. The most likely score is 1-1. If Aris wins, the most likely score is 2-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.7% of the 2,495 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 16, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Aris vs Olympiakos?
Aris starts as the favourite with a 157-point Elo edge (1,927 vs 1,770).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Aris vs Olympiakos
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Aris
4-2-3-1- 11R. Effaghe
- 29D. Gaustad
- 30Gustavo Pajé
- 70C. El Allachi
- 8C. Charalampous
- 22V. Nikolić
- 27J. Badelj
- 7Anderson Correia
- 17M. Matysik
- 20S. Yago
- 91M. Zadro
Olympiakos
3-4-1-2- 26P. Kynigopoulos
- 15R. Sappinen
- 8Bruno Paz
- 77A. Vrikkis
- 80Miguel Esteves Sancho Pedro
- 6Georgios Okkas
- 10D. Prokop
- 55Henrique Gomes
- 5Eduardo Kunde
- 23M. Pechlivanis
- 1C. Talichmanidis
Computed on October 16, 2026 at 08:46 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Aris have 5 wins, 2 draws and 8 defeats; Olympiakos have 5, 5 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 14, 2026 | Ethnikos Achna(home) | 4-0 | Cup |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Olympiakos(away) | 2-1 | 1. Division |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Riga(home) | 1-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Karmiotissa(home) | 0-0 | 1. Division |
| Sep 14, 2026 | Krasava Ypsonas(away) | 1-0 | 1. Division |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | Aris(home) | 1-2 | 1. Division |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Omonia Aradippou(away) | 1-1 | 1. Division |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Omonia 29is Maiou(home) | 3-3 | 1. Division |
| Sep 7, 2026 | Pafos(away) | 0-0 | 1. Division |
| Aug 28, 2026 | Nea Salamis(home) | 3-3 | 1. Division |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 4 Aris wins, 2 draws, 0 Olympiakos wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | Olympiakos 1-2 Aris | 1. Division |
| Jan 4, 2026 | Olympiakos 0-0 Aris | 1. Division |
| Sep 15, 2025 | Aris 2-0 Olympiakos | 1. Division |
| Dec 16, 2022 | Olympiakos 0-0 Aris | 1. Division |
| Sep 2, 2022 | Aris 5-0 Olympiakos | 1. Division |
| Dec 3, 2021 | Aris 1-0 Olympiakos | 1. Division |
How many goals should we expect?
Aris score 1.4 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Olympiakos score 1.4 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 55% probability of over 2.5 goals and 54% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aris | 1.4 | 1.7 | 5 | 7/15 | 9/15 |
| Olympiakos | 1.4 | 1.5 | 2 | 10/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Aris sit 6th in 1. Division (8 points from 5 matches) and Olympiakos sit 10th (4 points from 5 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Aris | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
| 10 | Olympiakos | 5 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 8 | 9 | 4 |
A question about Aris vs Olympiakos?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Aris vs Olympiakos?
- The Footlab AI model makes Aris the favourite at 57%, against 24% for a draw and 19% for Olympiakos.
- Where and when is Aris vs Olympiakos played?
- Aris vs Olympiakos is played on January 12, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Alphamega Stadium, in the 1. Division.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 55% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.7% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.