Nea Salamis vs Apoel Nicosia: prediction and stats
1. DivisionRegular Season - 18Kick-off on January 12, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Stadio Vitex Ammochostos Epistrofi, Larnaca
The Footlab model makes Nea Salamis the favourite at 41%, against 28% for a draw and 32% for Apoel Nicosia. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Nea Salamis vs Apoel Nicosia?
A very open match: only 59 Elo points separate Nea Salamis (1,818) and Apoel Nicosia (1,877).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Nea Salamis have 10 wins, 4 draws and 1 defeats; Apoel Nicosia have 3, 3 and 9.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 14, 2026 | Krasava Odintsovo(home) | 7-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 12, 2026 | Anorthosis(home) | 2-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Enosis(away) | 1-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 27, 2026 | Nieciecza(away) | 1-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 21, 2026 | Busko-Zdroj(away) | 4-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 16, 2026 | Anorthosis(away) | 3-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Kifisia(home) | 2-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Fortuna Sittard(away) | 1-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| May 22, 2026 | Pafos(away) | 0-2 | 1. Division |
| May 16, 2026 | Omonia Nicosia(home) | 0-3 | 1. Division |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 0 Nea Salamis win(s), 1 draw(s), 5 Apoel Nicosia win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jan 8, 2025 | Nea Salamis 1-1 Apoel Nicosia | 1. Division |
| Sep 22, 2024 | Apoel Nicosia 3-1 Nea Salamis | 1. Division |
| Jan 26, 2024 | Nea Salamis 0-4 Apoel Nicosia | 1. Division |
| Oct 21, 2023 | Apoel Nicosia 1-0 Nea Salamis | 1. Division |
| Mar 6, 2023 | Apoel Nicosia 3-0 Nea Salamis | 1. Division |
| Dec 3, 2022 | Nea Salamis 1-3 Apoel Nicosia | 1. Division |
Last archived meeting: Nea Salamis vs Apoel Nicosia on Jan 8, 2025
How many goals should we expect?
Nea Salamis score 2.3 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Apoel Nicosia score 1.1 and concede 1.8. The model gives a 49% probability of over 2.5 goals and 54% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nea Salamis | 2.3 | 0.9 | 6 | 8/15 | 9/15 |
| Apoel Nicosia | 1.1 | 1.8 | 2 | 7/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Apoel Nicosia | 36 | 15 | 7 | 14 | 53 | 45 | 52 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Nea Salamis vs Apoel Nicosia?
- The Footlab model makes Nea Salamis the favourite at 41%, against 28% for a draw and 32% for Apoel Nicosia.
- Where and when is Nea Salamis vs Apoel Nicosia played?
- Nea Salamis vs Apoel Nicosia is played on January 12, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Stadio Vitex Ammochostos Epistrofi, in the 1. Division.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 49% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.