Omonia Aradippou vs AEK Larnaca: prediction and stats
1. DivisionRegular Season - 18Kick-off on January 12, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Dimotiko Stadio Aradippou, Aradippou
The Footlab model makes AEK Larnaca the favourite at 47%, against 27% for a draw and 26% for Omonia Aradippou. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Omonia Aradippou vs AEK Larnaca?
AEK Larnaca starts as the favourite with a 261-point Elo edge (2,011 vs 1,750).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Omonia Aradippou have 7 wins, 3 draws and 5 defeats; AEK Larnaca have 6, 5 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 8, 2026 | AEK Larnaca(away) | 1-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| May 15, 2026 | Ethnikos Achna(away) | 2-1 | 1. Division |
| May 9, 2026 | Akritas(home) | 2-1 | 1. Division |
| May 1, 2026 | Olympiakos(away) | 1-2 | 1. Division |
| Apr 25, 2026 | Krasava Ypsonas(home) | 1-1 | 1. Division |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 8, 2026 | Omonia Aradippou(home) | 0-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 30, 2026 | Beitar Jerusalem(away) | 3-2 | UEFA Europa Conference League |
| Jul 23, 2026 | Beitar Jerusalem(home) | 0-1 | UEFA Europa Conference League |
| Jul 16, 2026 | Apollon Limassol(away) | 0-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 4, 2026 | Helmond Sport(away) | 2-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Omonia Aradippou win(s), 0 draw(s), 3 AEK Larnaca win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 8, 2026 | AEK Larnaca 0-1 Omonia Aradippou | Friendlies Clubs |
| Feb 22, 2026 | Omonia Aradippou 2-1 AEK Larnaca | 1. Division |
| Nov 9, 2025 | AEK Larnaca 1-0 Omonia Aradippou | 1. Division |
| Mar 9, 2025 | Omonia Aradippou 2-0 AEK Larnaca | 1. Division |
| Dec 6, 2024 | AEK Larnaca 1-0 Omonia Aradippou | 1. Division |
| Jul 18, 2020 | AEK Larnaca 4-0 Omonia Aradippou | Friendlies Clubs |
Last archived meeting: AEK Larnaca vs Omonia Aradippou on Aug 8, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Omonia Aradippou score 1.2 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 15; AEK Larnaca score 1.2 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 47% probability of over 2.5 goals and 52% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Omonia Aradippou | 1.2 | 1.2 | 4 | 9/15 | 8/15 |
| AEK Larnaca | 1.2 | 1.1 | 4 | 7/15 | 4/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Omonia Aradippou sit 9th in 1. Division (42 points from 33 matches) and AEK Larnaca sit 2nd (69 points from 36 matches).
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | AEK Larnaca | 36 | 20 | 9 | 7 | 62 | 33 | 69 |
| 9 | Omonia Aradippou | 33 | 12 | 6 | 15 | 31 | 42 | 42 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Omonia Aradippou vs AEK Larnaca?
- The Footlab model makes AEK Larnaca the favourite at 47%, against 27% for a draw and 26% for Omonia Aradippou.
- Where and when is Omonia Aradippou vs AEK Larnaca played?
- Omonia Aradippou vs AEK Larnaca is played on January 12, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Dimotiko Stadio Aradippou, in the 1. Division.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 47% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.