Omonia Aradippou vs AEK Larnaca: prediction and stats
1. DivisionRegular Season - 18Kick-off on January 12, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Dimotiko Stadio Aradippou, Aradippou
The Footlab AI model makes AEK Larnaca the favourite at 58%, against 25% for a draw and 17% for Omonia Aradippou. The most likely score is 0-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.4% of the 2,793 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 19, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Omonia Aradippou vs AEK Larnaca?
AEK Larnaca starts as the favourite with a 283-point Elo edge (2,046 vs 1,762).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Omonia Aradippou vs AEK Larnaca
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Omonia Aradippou
4-4-1-1- 9G. Pontikos
- 8A. El Bouchataoui
- 7M. Koumouris
- 21K. Evripidou
- 10J. Schmidt
- 35P. Polycarpou
- 14J. van Mullem
- 81V. De Marco
- 15Unai García
- 34Danny Agostinho Henriques
- 12Ž. Živković
AEK Larnaca
4-2-3-1- 11R. Bajić
- 14A. Layouni
- 7Gus Ledes
- 20J. Repas
- 21Miramón
- 9Đ. Ivanović
- 15H. Miličević
- 23S. Köhler
- 22G. Ekpolo
- 3M. van der Hoorn
- 92A. Paleari
Computed on October 19, 2026 at 01:29 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Omonia Aradippou have 5 wins, 5 draws and 5 defeats; AEK Larnaca have 9, 3 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 18, 2026 | AEL(home) | 0-2 | 1. Division |
| Oct 12, 2026 | AEK Larnaca(away) | 0-1 | 1. Division |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Olympiakos(home) | 1-1 | 1. Division |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Karmiotissa(away) | 1-1 | 1. Division |
| Sep 5, 2026 | Krasava Ypsonas(home) | 2-1 | 1. Division |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 18, 2026 | Aris(away) | 1-1 | 1. Division |
| Oct 12, 2026 | Omonia Aradippou(home) | 1-0 | 1. Division |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Apollon Limassol(home) | 3-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Nea Salamis(home) | 2-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Sep 18, 2026 | Omonia 29is Maiou(away) | 2-1 | 1. Division |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Omonia Aradippou wins, 0 draws, 3 AEK Larnaca wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Oct 12, 2026 | AEK Larnaca 1-0 Omonia Aradippou | 1. Division |
| Aug 8, 2026 | AEK Larnaca 0-1 Omonia Aradippou | Friendlies Clubs |
| Feb 22, 2026 | Omonia Aradippou 2-1 AEK Larnaca | 1. Division |
| Nov 9, 2025 | AEK Larnaca 1-0 Omonia Aradippou | 1. Division |
| Mar 9, 2025 | Omonia Aradippou 2-0 AEK Larnaca | 1. Division |
| Dec 6, 2024 | AEK Larnaca 1-0 Omonia Aradippou | 1. Division |
Last archived meeting: AEK Larnaca vs Omonia Aradippou on Oct 12, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Omonia Aradippou score 1.0 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 15; AEK Larnaca score 1.8 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 47% probability of over 2.5 goals and 47% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Omonia Aradippou | 1.0 | 1.2 | 2 | 10/15 | 7/15 |
| AEK Larnaca | 1.8 | 1.1 | 3 | 9/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Omonia Aradippou sit 8th in 1. Division (6 points from 6 matches) and AEK Larnaca sit 3rd (12 points from 5 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | AEK Larnaca | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 4 | 12 |
| 8 | Omonia Aradippou | 6 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 6 |
A question about Omonia Aradippou vs AEK Larnaca?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Omonia Aradippou vs AEK Larnaca?
- The Footlab AI model makes AEK Larnaca the favourite at 58%, against 25% for a draw and 17% for Omonia Aradippou.
- Where and when is Omonia Aradippou vs AEK Larnaca played?
- Omonia Aradippou vs AEK Larnaca is played on January 12, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Dimotiko Stadio Aradippou, in the 1. Division.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 47% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.4% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.