Arkadag vs Ahal: result 4-1 and analysis
Ýokary LigaRegular Season - 16Kick-off on September 21, 2025 at 11:45 AM (UTC)Ahal merkezi sport toplumy, Arkadag şäheri
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What was the result of Arkadag vs Ahal?
Arkadag won 4-1 on September 21, 2025.
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Arkadag have 13 wins, 2 draws and 0 defeats; Ahal have 9, 3 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 17, 2025 | Andijan(home) | 0-0 | AFC Champions League Two |
| Sep 11, 2025 | Merw(away) | 3-1 | Ýokary Liga |
| Aug 19, 2025 | Şagadam(away) | 4-1 | Ýokary Liga |
| Aug 15, 2025 | Altyn Asyr(away) | 5-2 | Ýokary Liga |
| Aug 11, 2025 | Nebitci(away) | 8-1 | Ýokary Liga |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 17, 2025 | Merw(home) | 0-0 | Ýokary Liga |
| Sep 16, 2025 | ATK Mohun Bagan(away) | 1-0 | AFC Champions League Two |
| Aug 20, 2025 | Altyn Asyr(home) | 0-0 | Ýokary Liga |
| Aug 13, 2025 | Regar-TadAZ(away) | 2-1 | AFC Champions League Two |
| Aug 6, 2025 | Nebitci(home) | 2-0 | Ýokary Liga |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 6 Arkadag wins, 0 draws, 0 Ahal wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jun 24, 2025 | Ahal 0-3 Arkadag | Ýokary Liga |
| Apr 30, 2025 | Arkadag 3-1 Ahal | Ýokary Liga |
| Oct 17, 2024 | Ahal 1-2 Arkadag | Ýokary Liga |
| Sep 4, 2024 | Arkadag 5-1 Ahal | Ýokary Liga |
| May 8, 2024 | Ahal 0-4 Arkadag | Ýokary Liga |
| Mar 30, 2024 | Arkadag 4-1 Ahal | Ýokary Liga |
How many goals should we expect?
Arkadag score 3.9 and concede 0.7 goals per match over their last 15; Ahal score 1.7 and concede 0.9.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Arkadag | 3.9 | 0.7 | 8 | 7/15 | 11/15 |
| Ahal | 1.7 | 0.9 | 8 | 6/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Arkadag sit 1st in Ýokary Liga (72 points from 24 matches) and Ahal sit 3rd (42 points from 22 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Arkadag | 24 | 24 | 0 | 0 | 97 | 12 | 72 |
| 3 | Ahal | 22 | 13 | 3 | 6 | 50 | 28 | 42 |
A question about Arkadag vs Ahal?
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy