Arkadag vs Gol Gohar: prediction and stats
AFC Champions League TwoGroup Stage - 4Kick-off on November 4, 2026 at 01:45 PM (UTC)Ahal merkezi sport toplumy, Arkadag şäheri
The Footlab AI model makes Arkadag the favourite at 57%, against 23% for a draw and 20% for Gol Gohar. The most likely score is 1-1. If Arkadag wins, the most likely score is 2-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 53.6% of the 3,802 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 28, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Arkadag vs Gol Gohar?
Arkadag starts as the favourite with a 182-point Elo edge (1,917 vs 1,736).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Arkadag vs Gol Gohar
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Arkadag
5-4-1- 71D. Meredov
- 27Y. Gurbanov
- 88A. Ataýew
- 9R. Myratberdiýew
- 13V. Ballakov
- 12Y. Mammedov
- 20A. Sapargulyyev
- 5A. Bashimov
- 4M. Saparow
- 2G. Annagulyýew
- 1R. Ahallyyev
Gol Gohar
3-4-2-1- 10M. Aliyari
- 2M. Najarian
- 19P. Ghazipour
- 4A. Alizadeh
- 9O. Alishah
- 69M. Kazemian
- 11M. Goudarzi
- 60A. Zendehrouh
- 26M. Zahedi
- 76S. Sahraei
- 1F. Garousian
Computed on October 28, 2026 at 08:02 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Arkadag have 13 wins, 1 draw and 1 defeat; Gol Gohar have 4, 3 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 28, 2026 | Gol Gohar(away) | 0-0 | AFC Champions League Two |
| Oct 14, 2026 | Al-Jazira(away) | 1-2 | AFC Champions League Two |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Köpetdag Aşgabat(away) | 1-0 | Ýokary Liga |
| Sep 15, 2026 | Muharraq(home) | 1-0 | AFC Champions League Two |
| Sep 5, 2026 | Nebitci(away) | 4-2 | Ýokary Liga |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 28, 2026 | Arkadag(home) | 0-0 | AFC Champions League Two |
| Oct 23, 2026 | Kheybar Khorramabad(home) | 0-1 | Persian Gulf Pro League |
| Oct 19, 2026 | Esteghlal FC(away) | 0-1 | Persian Gulf Pro League |
| Oct 14, 2026 | Muharraq(away) | 0-2 | AFC Champions League Two |
| Oct 8, 2026 | Esteghlal Khuzestan(home) | 3-0 | Persian Gulf Pro League |
What does the head-to-head say?
In the last meeting: 0 Arkadag wins, 1 draw, 0 Gol Gohar wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Oct 28, 2026 | Gol Gohar 0-0 Arkadag | AFC Champions League Two |
How many goals should we expect?
Arkadag score 3.5 and concede 0.7 goals per match over their last 15; Gol Gohar score 0.7 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 61% probability of over 2.5 goals and 60% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Arkadag | 3.5 | 0.7 | 8 | 7/15 | 12/15 |
| Gol Gohar | 0.7 | 1.1 | 6 | 2/15 | 4/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Arkadag sit 2nd in AFC Champions League Two (4 points from 3 matches) and Gol Gohar sit 4th (2 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Arkadag | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 4 |
| 4 | Gol Gohar | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 |
A question about Arkadag vs Gol Gohar?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Arkadag vs Gol Gohar?
- The Footlab AI model makes Arkadag the favourite at 57%, against 23% for a draw and 20% for Gol Gohar.
- Where and when is Arkadag vs Gol Gohar played?
- Arkadag vs Gol Gohar is played on November 4, 2026 at 01:45 PM (UTC) at Ahal merkezi sport toplumy, in the AFC Champions League Two.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 61% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 53.6% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.