Arnavutköy Belediyespor vs Sebat Gençlikspor: prediction and stats
2. Lig2. Lig White Group - 16Kick-off on December 13, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Bolluca Stadı, Arnavutköy
The Footlab model makes Sebat Gençlikspor the favourite at 44%, against 26% for a draw and 30% for Arnavutköy Belediyespor. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 27, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Arnavutköy Belediyespor vs Sebat Gençlikspor?
Sebat Gençlikspor starts as the favourite with a 120-point Elo edge (1,744 vs 1,625).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Arnavutköy Belediyespor have 5 wins, 4 draws and 6 defeats; Sebat Gençlikspor have 9, 3 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 25, 2026 | Isparta 32 Spor(home) | 2-0 | 2. Lig |
| Apr 18, 2026 | Adanaspor(away) | 1-0 | 2. Lig |
| Apr 12, 2026 | Muş Sport Klübü(away) | 1-2 | 2. Lig |
| Mar 28, 2026 | 1461 Trabzon FK(away) | 1-0 | 2. Lig |
| Mar 14, 2026 | Aliağa FAŞ(away) | 0-3 | 2. Lig |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 18, 2026 | Yozgat Bld Bozokspor(home) | 2-3 | 3. Lig - Group 3 |
| Apr 12, 2026 | Orduspor 1967(away) | 3-1 | 3. Lig - Group 3 |
| Apr 5, 2026 | 1926 Bulancak(home) | 3-1 | 3. Lig - Group 3 |
| Mar 28, 2026 | Çayelispor(away) | 0-0 | 3. Lig - Group 3 |
| Mar 24, 2026 | Amasyaspor 1968(home) | 1-0 | 3. Lig - Group 3 |
How many goals should we expect?
Arnavutköy Belediyespor score 0.7 and concede 1.0 goals per match over their last 15; Sebat Gençlikspor score 1.5 and concede 0.7. The model gives a 57% probability of over 2.5 goals and 60% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Arnavutköy Belediyespor | 0.7 | 1.0 | 7 | 4/15 | 4/15 |
| Sebat Gençlikspor | 1.5 | 0.7 | 7 | 6/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Arnavutköy Belediyespor | 34 | 13 | 7 | 14 | 40 | 36 | 46 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Arnavutköy Belediyespor vs Sebat Gençlikspor?
- The Footlab model makes Sebat Gençlikspor the favourite at 44%, against 26% for a draw and 30% for Arnavutköy Belediyespor.
- Where and when is Arnavutköy Belediyespor vs Sebat Gençlikspor played?
- Arnavutköy Belediyespor vs Sebat Gençlikspor is played on December 13, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Bolluca Stadı, in the 2. Lig.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 57% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
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