Şanlıurfaspor vs İnegöl Kafkas Gençlik: prediction and stats
2. Lig2. Lig White Group - 16Kick-off on December 13, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Şanlıurfa 11 Nisan Stadyumu, Şanlıurfa
The Footlab model makes Şanlıurfaspor the favourite at 49%, against 25% for a draw and 26% for İnegöl Kafkas Gençlik. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 27, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Şanlıurfaspor vs İnegöl Kafkas Gençlik?
A very open match: only 89 Elo points separate Şanlıurfaspor (1,757) and İnegöl Kafkas Gençlik (1,668).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Şanlıurfaspor have 4 wins, 5 draws and 6 defeats; İnegöl Kafkas Gençlik have 10, 4 and 1.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 4, 2026 | Muğlaspor(away) | 1-1 | 2. Lig |
| Apr 30, 2026 | Muğlaspor(home) | 0-1 | 2. Lig |
| Apr 25, 2026 | Ankaraspor(home) | 2-1 | 2. Lig |
| Apr 19, 2026 | Muğlaspor(away) | 0-0 | 2. Lig |
| Apr 12, 2026 | Kastamonuspor(home) | 5-2 | 2. Lig |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 18, 2026 | Bursa Yıldırımspor(home) | 3-1 | 3. Lig - Group 1 |
| Apr 12, 2026 | Kestel Çilek(away) | 2-1 | 3. Lig - Group 1 |
| Apr 5, 2026 | Galata(away) | 1-0 | 3. Lig - Group 1 |
| Mar 29, 2026 | Beykoz İshaklıspor(home) | 1-0 | 3. Lig - Group 1 |
| Mar 25, 2026 | İnkılapspor(away) | 1-3 | 3. Lig - Group 1 |
How many goals should we expect?
Şanlıurfaspor score 1.5 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; İnegöl Kafkas Gençlik score 1.6 and concede 0.9. The model gives a 58% probability of over 2.5 goals and 60% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Şanlıurfaspor | 1.5 | 1.5 | 2 | 11/15 | 10/15 |
| İnegöl Kafkas Gençlik | 1.6 | 0.9 | 5 | 10/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Şanlıurfaspor | 36 | 19 | 8 | 9 | 63 | 43 | 65 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Şanlıurfaspor vs İnegöl Kafkas Gençlik?
- The Footlab model makes Şanlıurfaspor the favourite at 49%, against 25% for a draw and 26% for İnegöl Kafkas Gençlik.
- Where and when is Şanlıurfaspor vs İnegöl Kafkas Gençlik played?
- Şanlıurfaspor vs İnegöl Kafkas Gençlik is played on December 13, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Şanlıurfa 11 Nisan Stadyumu, in the 2. Lig.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 58% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
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