Match

Elazığspor vs Muş Sport Klübü: prediction and stats

2. Lig2. Lig White Group - 16Kick-off on December 13, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Elazığ Doğukent Stadyumu, Elazığ

ElazığsporMuş Sport Klübü

The Footlab model makes Elazığspor the favourite at 49%, against 24% for a draw and 28% for Muş Sport Klübü. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 27, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Elazığspor vs Muş Sport Klübü?

A very open match: only 59 Elo points separate Elazığspor (1,881) and Muş Sport Klübü (1,822).

Elazığspor win49 %
Draw24 %
Muş Sport Klübü win28 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Elazığspor have 12 wins, 3 draws and 0 defeats; Muş Sport Klübü have 7, 5 and 3.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Elazığspor
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
May 10, 2026Muğlaspor(away)0-02. Lig
May 4, 2026Adana 01 FK(home)2-12. Lig
Apr 30, 2026Adana 01 FK(away)4-22. Lig
Apr 25, 202624 Erzincanspor(home)2-02. Lig
Apr 19, 2026İskenderunspor(away)1-02. Lig
Muş Sport Klübü
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
May 9, 2026Mardin 1969(away)1-22. Lig
May 4, 2026Aliağa FAŞ(home)0-02. Lig
Apr 30, 2026Aliağa FAŞ(away)1-12. Lig
Apr 25, 2026Adanaspor(home)6-02. Lig
Apr 19, 2026Fethiyespor(away)1-12. Lig

How many goals should we expect?

Elazığspor score 2.3 and concede 0.7 goals per match over their last 15; Muş Sport Klübü score 1.9 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 63% probability of over 2.5 goals and 64% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Elazığspor2.30.787/159/15
Muş Sport Klübü1.91.1310/158/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Elazığspor sit 3rd in 2. Lig (69 points from 36 matches) and Muş Sport Klübü sit 3rd (70 points from 34 matches).

The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.

Final 2025-26 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
3Elazığspor362169823769
3Muş Sport Klübü342176823570

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Elazığspor vs Muş Sport Klübü?
The Footlab model makes Elazığspor the favourite at 49%, against 24% for a draw and 28% for Muş Sport Klübü.
Where and when is Elazığspor vs Muş Sport Klübü played?
Elazığspor vs Muş Sport Klübü is played on December 13, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Elazığ Doğukent Stadyumu, in the 2. Lig.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 63% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Other matches in the same round

Next match: Elazığspor and Muş Sport Klübü

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