Where and when is Hatayspor vs Adana Demirspor played?

Hatayspor vs Adana Demirspor is played on December 13, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Mersin Stadyumu, in the 2. Lig.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 67% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Hatayspor vs Adana Demirspor: prediction and stats

2. Lig2. Lig White Group - 16Kick-off on December 13, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Mersin Stadyumu, Mersin

Hatayspor

Adana Demirspor

The Footlab model makes Hatayspor the favourite at 65%, against 19% for a draw and 16% for Adana Demirspor. The most likely score is 2-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 27, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Hatayspor vs Adana Demirspor?

Hatayspor starts as the favourite with a 126-point Elo edge (1,578 vs 1,452).

Hatayspor win65 %

Draw19 %

Adana Demirspor win16 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Hatayspor have 2 wins, 1 draws and 12 defeats; Adana Demirspor have 1, 1 and 13.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Hatayspor
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
May 1, 2026	Vanspor FK(home)	3-1	1. Lig
Apr 25, 2026	Serik Spor(away)	2-4	1. Lig
Apr 18, 2026	Sakaryaspor(home)	1-1	1. Lig
Apr 11, 2026	Sarıyer(away)	0-4	1. Lig
Apr 7, 2026	Adana Demirspor(home)	4-0	1. Lig

Adana Demirspor
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
May 1, 2026	İstanbulspor(away)	1-8	1. Lig
Apr 25, 2026	Ümraniyespor(home)	1-3	1. Lig
Apr 19, 2026	Boluspor(away)	0-6	1. Lig
Apr 12, 2026	Iğdır FK(home)	1-6	1. Lig
Apr 7, 2026	Hatayspor(away)	0-4	1. Lig

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Hatayspor win(s), 1 draw(s), 2 Adana Demirspor win(s).

Date	Score	Competition
Apr 7, 2026	Hatayspor 4-0 Adana Demirspor	1. Lig
Dec 1, 2025	Adana Demirspor 3-3 Hatayspor	1. Lig
May 17, 2025	Adana Demirspor 0-5 Hatayspor	Süper Lig
Dec 23, 2024	Hatayspor 1-3 Adana Demirspor	Süper Lig
Mar 27, 2024	Adana Demirspor 2-1 Hatayspor	Friendlies Clubs
Jan 27, 2024	Adana Demirspor 0-1 Hatayspor	Süper Lig

Last archived meeting: Hatayspor vs Adana Demirspor on Apr 7, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Hatayspor score 1.0 and concede 2.8 goals per match over their last 15; Adana Demirspor score 0.5 and concede 4.5. The model gives a 67% probability of over 2.5 goals and 61% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Hatayspor	1.0	2.8	1	8/15	13/15
Adana Demirspor	0.5	4.5	0	6/15	13/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Hatayspor vs Adana Demirspor?: The Footlab model makes Hatayspor the favourite at 65%, against 19% for a draw and 16% for Adana Demirspor.
Where and when is Hatayspor vs Adana Demirspor played?: Hatayspor vs Adana Demirspor is played on December 13, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Mersin Stadyumu, in the 2. Lig.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 67% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.