Arouca vs Estoril: result 3-2 and analysis
Primeira LigaRegular Season - 28Kick-off on April 6, 2026 at 05:45 PM (UTC)Estádio Municipal de Arouca, Arouca
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What was the result of Arouca vs Estoril?
Arouca won 3-2 on April 6, 2026.
Goalscorers
- 3′XekaEstoril
- 13′BarberoArouca
- 32′Y. BegraouiEstoril
- 45′José FontánArouca
- 55′Pablo GozálbezArouca
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Arouca have 6 wins, 2 draws and 7 defeats; Estoril have 7, 3 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 21, 2026 | Moreirense(away) | 1-0 | Primeira Liga |
| Mar 14, 2026 | Benfica(home) | 1-2 | Primeira Liga |
| Mar 6, 2026 | Famalicao(away) | 0-1 | Primeira Liga |
| Feb 27, 2026 | FC Porto(away) | 1-3 | Primeira Liga |
| Feb 21, 2026 | Nacional(home) | 3-0 | Primeira Liga |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 22, 2026 | Rio Ave(home) | 1-2 | Primeira Liga |
| Mar 15, 2026 | Nacional(away) | 1-0 | Primeira Liga |
| Mar 7, 2026 | Casa Pia(home) | 0-0 | Primeira Liga |
| Feb 27, 2026 | Sporting CP(away) | 0-3 | Primeira Liga |
| Feb 22, 2026 | GIL Vicente(home) | 3-1 | Primeira Liga |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Arouca win(s), 1 draw(s), 3 Estoril win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Nov 7, 2025 | Estoril 4-3 Arouca | Primeira Liga |
| Mar 16, 2025 | Arouca 1-1 Estoril | Primeira Liga |
| Oct 26, 2024 | Estoril 4-1 Arouca | Primeira Liga |
| Jan 20, 2024 | Estoril 1-2 Arouca | Primeira Liga |
| Aug 13, 2023 | Arouca 4-3 Estoril | Primeira Liga |
| May 15, 2023 | Estoril 2-0 Arouca | Primeira Liga |
How many goals should we expect?
Arouca score 1.4 and concede 1.4 goals per match over their last 15; Estoril score 1.9 and concede 1.7.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Arouca | 1.4 | 1.4 | 6 | 8/15 | 10/15 |
| Estoril | 1.9 | 1.7 | 4 | 8/15 | 12/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Arouca sit 1st in Primeira Liga (6 points from 2 matches) and Estoril sit 13th (1 points from 2 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Arouca | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 0 | 6 |
| 13 | Estoril | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 1 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy