Estoril vs Arouca: result 4-3 and analysis
Primeira LigaRegular Season - 11Kick-off on November 7, 2025 at 08:15 PM (UTC)Estádio António Coimbra da Mota, Estoril
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What was the result of Estoril vs Arouca?
Estoril won 4-3 on November 7, 2025.
Goalscorers
- 5′T. FukuiArouca
- 10′T. FukuiEstoril (o.g.)
- 31′N. DjouahraArouca
- 43′K. BomaEstoril
- 51′J. HolsgroveEstoril
- 74′N. DjouahraArouca
- 86′João CarvalhoEstoril
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Estoril have 3 wins, 4 draws and 8 defeats; Arouca have 5, 3 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 1, 2025 | Rio Ave(away) | 4-0 | Primeira Liga |
| Oct 26, 2025 | Nacional(home) | 1-1 | Primeira Liga |
| Oct 19, 2025 | CF Os Belenenses(away) | 2-1 | Taça de Portugal |
| Oct 3, 2025 | Casa Pia(away) | 2-2 | Primeira Liga |
| Sep 27, 2025 | Sporting CP(home) | 0-1 | Primeira Liga |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 2, 2025 | Moreirense(home) | 0-2 | Primeira Liga |
| Oct 25, 2025 | Benfica(away) | 0-5 | Primeira Liga |
| Oct 18, 2025 | Portimonense(away) | 2-1 | Taça de Portugal |
| Oct 5, 2025 | Famalicao(home) | 1-1 | Primeira Liga |
| Sep 29, 2025 | FC Porto(home) | 0-4 | Primeira Liga |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Estoril win(s), 1 draw(s), 3 Arouca win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 16, 2025 | Arouca 1-1 Estoril | Primeira Liga |
| Oct 26, 2024 | Estoril 4-1 Arouca | Primeira Liga |
| Jan 20, 2024 | Estoril 1-2 Arouca | Primeira Liga |
| Aug 13, 2023 | Arouca 4-3 Estoril | Primeira Liga |
| May 15, 2023 | Estoril 2-0 Arouca | Primeira Liga |
| Jan 7, 2023 | Arouca 2-0 Estoril | Primeira Liga |
How many goals should we expect?
Estoril score 1.5 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Arouca score 1.3 and concede 2.1.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Estoril | 1.5 | 1.7 | 1 | 10/15 | 10/15 |
| Arouca | 1.3 | 2.1 | 1 | 8/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Estoril sit 13th in Primeira Liga (1 points from 2 matches) and Arouca sit 1st (6 points from 2 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Arouca | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 0 | 6 |
| 13 | Estoril | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 1 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy