Arouca vs Nacional: result 1-0 and analysis
Primeira LigaRegular Season - 3Kick-off on August 25, 2024 at 02:30 PM (UTC)Estádio Municipal de Arouca, Arouca
Full time
What was the result of Arouca vs Nacional?
Arouca won 1-0 on August 25, 2024.
Goalscorers
- 27′Henrique AraújoArouca
Official lineup for Arouca vs Nacional
The starting elevens fielded at kick-off.
Arouca
4-2-3-1- 39Henrique Araújo
- 2M. Sylla
- 23Cristo González
- 10Jason
- 5David Simão
- 21T. Fukui
- 26Weverson
- 73Chico Lamba
- 4M. Rocha
- 28Tiago Esgaio
- 58N. Mantl
Nacional
4-3-3- 7Rúben Macedo
- 9Adrián Butzke
- 11N. Thomas
- 8Bruno Costa
- 88Matheus Dias
- 10Luís Esteves
- 5José Gomes
- 38Zé Vitor
- 4Ulisses
- 22Gustavo Garcia
- 37Lucas França
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Arouca have 4 wins, 3 draws and 8 defeats; Nacional have 8, 4 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 18, 2024 | Moreirense(away) | 1-3 | Primeira Liga |
| Aug 12, 2024 | Guimaraes(home) | 0-1 | Primeira Liga |
| Aug 3, 2024 | Academico Viseu(home) | 0-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 20, 2024 | Rio Ave(away) | 2-3 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 13, 2024 | Oliveirense(home) | 3-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 17, 2024 | Sporting CP(home) | 1-6 | Primeira Liga |
| Aug 10, 2024 | AVS(away) | 1-1 | Primeira Liga |
| Aug 3, 2024 | FC Porto B(home) | 2-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 31, 2024 | Rio Ave(away) | 1-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 23, 2024 | Maritimo(away) | 0-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Arouca wins, 3 draws, 1 Nacional win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 6, 2018 | Arouca 0-1 Nacional | Segunda Liga |
| Dec 22, 2017 | Nacional 2-2 Arouca | Segunda Liga |
| Jan 28, 2017 | Nacional 1-1 Arouca | Primeira Liga |
| Aug 21, 2016 | Arouca 2-0 Nacional | Primeira Liga |
| May 1, 2016 | Arouca 3-0 Nacional | Primeira Liga |
| Jan 2, 2016 | Nacional 2-2 Arouca | Primeira Liga |
How many goals should we expect?
Arouca score 1.1 and concede 1.8 goals per match over their last 15; Nacional score 1.9 and concede 1.5.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Arouca | 1.1 | 1.8 | 2 | 8/15 | 10/15 |
| Nacional | 1.9 | 1.5 | 3 | 11/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Arouca sit 5th in Primeira Liga (14 points from 8 matches) and Nacional sit 16th (4 points from 8 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Arouca | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 11 | 7 | 14 |
| 16 | Nacional | 8 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 9 | 18 | 4 |
A question about Arouca vs Nacional?
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy