Arouca vs Nacional: result 1-1 and analysis
Primeira LigaRegular Season - 19Kick-off on February 16, 2014 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Estádio Municipal de Arouca, Arouca
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What was the result of Arouca vs Nacional?
Arouca and Nacional drew 1-1 on February 16, 2014.
Goalscorers
- 12′André ClaroArouca
- 31′MarçalNacional
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Arouca have 3 wins, 5 draws and 7 defeats; Nacional have 7, 6 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 9, 2014 | Rio Ave(away) | 1-1 | Primeira Liga |
| Jan 31, 2014 | Estoril(away) | 1-1 | Primeira Liga |
| Jan 18, 2014 | Sporting CP(home) | 1-2 | Primeira Liga |
| Jan 12, 2014 | Belenenses(home) | 2-0 | Primeira Liga |
| Dec 22, 2013 | GIL Vicente(away) | 3-0 | Primeira Liga |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 8, 2014 | Belenenses(home) | 2-0 | Primeira Liga |
| Feb 3, 2014 | Guimaraes(away) | 2-1 | Primeira Liga |
| Jan 20, 2014 | Estoril(home) | 2-2 | Primeira Liga |
| Jan 12, 2014 | GIL Vicente(home) | 2-0 | Primeira Liga |
| Dec 21, 2013 | Sporting CP(away) | 0-0 | Primeira Liga |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 1 meetings: 1 Arouca win(s), 0 draw(s), 0 Nacional win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Sep 15, 2013 | Nacional 0-1 Arouca | Primeira Liga |
How many goals should we expect?
Arouca score 0.9 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Nacional score 1.5 and concede 0.8.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Arouca | 0.9 | 1.1 | 5 | 6/15 | 5/15 |
| Nacional | 1.5 | 0.8 | 7 | 6/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Arouca sit 5th in Primeira Liga (6 points from 3 matches) and Nacional sit 7th (4 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Arouca | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 2 | 6 |
| 7 | Nacional | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 4 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy