Arsenal Tula II vs Strogino: prediction and stats
Second League - Group 3Group 3 - 22Kick-off on September 6, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Stadion DYUSSH Arsenal, Kosaya Gora
The Footlab model makes Arsenal Tula II the favourite at 39%, against 26% for a draw and 36% for Strogino. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Arsenal Tula II vs Strogino?
A very open match: only 6 Elo points separate Arsenal Tula II (1,483) and Strogino (1,477).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Arsenal Tula II have 2 wins, 5 draws and 8 defeats; Strogino have 6, 3 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Shumbrat(home) | 1-1 | Second League - Group 3 |
| Aug 15, 2026 | FK Spartak Tambov(away) | 1-1 | Second League - Group 3 |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Avangard Kursk(home) | 1-1 | Second League - Group 3 |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Volna Nizhegorodskaya(away) | 0-2 | Second League - Group 3 |
| Jul 26, 2026 | Ryazan(home) | 0-5 | Second League - Group 3 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | SKA Khabarovsk II(home) | 1-2 | Second League - Group 3 |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Shumbrat(away) | 1-1 | Second League - Group 3 |
| Aug 12, 2026 | Torpedo Vladimir(home) | 0-3 | Cup |
| Aug 8, 2026 | FK Spartak Tambov(away) | 1-0 | Second League - Group 3 |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Avangard Kursk(away) | 3-1 | Second League - Group 3 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Arsenal Tula II win(s), 1 draw(s), 3 Strogino win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 16, 2026 | Strogino 2-0 Arsenal Tula II | Second League - Group 3 |
| Sep 7, 2025 | Arsenal Tula II 1-0 Strogino | Second League - Group 3 |
| May 17, 2025 | Strogino 1-2 Arsenal Tula II | Second League - Group 3 |
| Sep 15, 2024 | Strogino 1-0 Arsenal Tula II | Second League - Group 3 |
| Jun 1, 2024 | Arsenal Tula II 0-1 Strogino | Second League - Group 3 |
| Nov 12, 2023 | Arsenal Tula II 2-2 Strogino | Second League - Group 3 |
Last archived meeting: Strogino vs Arsenal Tula II on May 16, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Arsenal Tula II score 1.1 and concede 2.4 goals per match over their last 15; Strogino score 1.3 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 58% probability of over 2.5 goals and 61% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Arsenal Tula II | 1.1 | 2.4 | 0 | 11/15 | 8/15 |
| Strogino | 1.3 | 1.3 | 3 | 8/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Arsenal Tula II sit 14th in Second League - Group 3 (13 points from 20 matches) and Strogino sit 12th (22 points from 20 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Strogino | 20 | 6 | 4 | 10 | 24 | 33 | 22 |
| 14 | Arsenal Tula II | 20 | 2 | 7 | 11 | 18 | 42 | 13 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Arsenal Tula II vs Strogino?
- The Footlab model makes Arsenal Tula II the favourite at 39%, against 26% for a draw and 36% for Strogino.
- Where and when is Arsenal Tula II vs Strogino played?
- Arsenal Tula II vs Strogino is played on September 6, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion DYUSSH Arsenal, in the Second League - Group 3.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 58% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.