Arsenal Tula II vs Saturn Ramenskoye: prediction and stats
Second League - Group 3Group 3 - 23Kick-off on September 13, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Stadion DYUSSH Arsenal, Kosaya Gora
The Footlab model makes Saturn Ramenskoye the favourite at 53%, against 23% for a draw and 24% for Arsenal Tula II. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Arsenal Tula II vs Saturn Ramenskoye?
Saturn Ramenskoye starts as the favourite with a 171-point Elo edge (1,656 vs 1,485).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Arsenal Tula II have 2 wins, 5 draws and 8 defeats; Saturn Ramenskoye have 7, 4 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Shumbrat(home) | 1-1 | Second League - Group 3 |
| Aug 15, 2026 | FK Spartak Tambov(away) | 1-1 | Second League - Group 3 |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Avangard Kursk(home) | 1-1 | Second League - Group 3 |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Volna Nizhegorodskaya(away) | 0-2 | Second League - Group 3 |
| Jul 26, 2026 | Ryazan(home) | 0-5 | Second League - Group 3 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Kvant(away) | 6-2 | Second League - Group 3 |
| Aug 15, 2026 | SKA Khabarovsk II(home) | 1-0 | Second League - Group 3 |
| Aug 12, 2026 | Irtysh Omsk(away) | 1-1 | Cup |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Salyut-Belgorod(away) | 1-3 | Second League - Group 3 |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Shumbrat(home) | 4-2 | Second League - Group 3 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 4 meetings: 1 Arsenal Tula II win(s), 1 draw(s), 2 Saturn Ramenskoye win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 24, 2026 | Saturn Ramenskoye 2-1 Arsenal Tula II | Second League - Group 3 |
| Oct 15, 2023 | Arsenal Tula II 3-2 Saturn Ramenskoye | Second League - Group 3 |
| May 14, 2022 | Arsenal Tula II 2-2 Saturn Ramenskoye | Second League - Group 3 |
| Apr 10, 2022 | Saturn Ramenskoye 5-1 Arsenal Tula II | Second League - Group 3 |
Last archived meeting: Saturn Ramenskoye vs Arsenal Tula II on May 24, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Arsenal Tula II score 1.1 and concede 2.4 goals per match over their last 15; Saturn Ramenskoye score 1.8 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 64% probability of over 2.5 goals and 64% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Arsenal Tula II | 1.1 | 2.4 | 0 | 11/15 | 8/15 |
| Saturn Ramenskoye | 1.8 | 1.5 | 5 | 8/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Arsenal Tula II sit 14th in Second League - Group 3 (13 points from 20 matches) and Saturn Ramenskoye sit 6th (34 points from 20 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Saturn Ramenskoye | 20 | 10 | 4 | 6 | 36 | 30 | 34 |
| 14 | Arsenal Tula II | 20 | 2 | 7 | 11 | 18 | 42 | 13 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Arsenal Tula II vs Saturn Ramenskoye?
- The Footlab model makes Saturn Ramenskoye the favourite at 53%, against 23% for a draw and 24% for Arsenal Tula II.
- Where and when is Arsenal Tula II vs Saturn Ramenskoye played?
- Arsenal Tula II vs Saturn Ramenskoye is played on September 13, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion DYUSSH Arsenal, in the Second League - Group 3.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 64% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.