Arsenal vs Leeds: result 1-0 and analysis
FA Cup3rd RoundKick-off on January 6, 2020 at 07:56 PM (UTC)Emirates Stadium, London
Full time
What was the result of Arsenal vs Leeds?
Arsenal won 1-0 on January 6, 2020.
Goalscorers
- 55′R. NelsonArsenal
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Arsenal have 2 wins, 8 draws and 5 defeats; Leeds have 9, 5 and 1.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 1, 2020 | Manchester United(home) | 2-0 | Premier League |
| Dec 29, 2019 | Chelsea(home) | 1-2 | Premier League |
| Dec 26, 2019 | Bournemouth(away) | 1-1 | Premier League |
| Dec 21, 2019 | Everton(away) | 0-0 | Premier League |
| Dec 15, 2019 | Manchester City(home) | 0-3 | Premier League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 1, 2020 | West Brom(away) | 1-1 | Championship |
| Dec 29, 2019 | Birmingham(away) | 5-4 | Championship |
| Dec 26, 2019 | Preston(home) | 1-1 | Championship |
| Dec 21, 2019 | Fulham(away) | 1-2 | Championship |
| Dec 14, 2019 | Cardiff(home) | 3-3 | Championship |
How many goals should we expect?
Arsenal score 1.5 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Leeds score 1.9 and concede 0.9.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Arsenal | 1.5 | 1.7 | 2 | 11/15 | 9/15 |
| Leeds | 1.9 | 0.9 | 7 | 8/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy