Match

Artesanos Metepec vs Calor de San Pedro: prediction and stats

Liga Premier Serie AApertura - 2Kick-off on September 5, 2026 at 09:00 PM (UTC)Unidad Deportiva Martín Alarcón Hisojo, Metepec

Artesanos MetepecCalor de San Pedro

The Footlab model makes Artesanos Metepec the favourite at 56%, against 24% for a draw and 21% for Calor de San Pedro. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Artesanos Metepec vs Calor de San Pedro?

A very open match: only 99 Elo points separate Artesanos Metepec (1,988) and Calor de San Pedro (1,888).

Artesanos Metepec win56 %
Draw24 %
Calor de San Pedro win21 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Artesanos Metepec have 9 wins, 2 draws and 4 defeats; Calor de San Pedro have 6, 4 and 5.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Artesanos Metepec
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Apr 18, 2026FC Racing(home)0-1Liga Premier Serie B
Apr 11, 2026FC Racing(away)3-1Liga Premier Serie B
Apr 4, 2026Gorilas de Juanacatlan(home)0-1Liga Premier Serie B
Apr 2, 2026Gorilas de Juanacatlan(away)3-1Liga Premier Serie B
Mar 14, 2026Caja Oblatos CFD(home)4-0Liga Premier Serie B
Calor de San Pedro
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Apr 18, 2026Deportiva Venados(away)1-2Liga Premier Serie A
Apr 16, 2026Deportiva Venados(home)0-1Liga Premier Serie A
Apr 12, 2026Lobos ULMX(home)4-1Liga Premier Serie A
Apr 4, 2026Gavilanes FC Matamoros(home)2-0Liga Premier Serie A
Mar 29, 2026Real Apodaca(away)0-1Liga Premier Serie A

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 2 meetings: 0 Artesanos Metepec win(s), 1 draw(s), 1 Calor de San Pedro win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
Feb 1, 2025Artesanos Metepec 0-1 Calor de San PedroLiga Premier Serie B
Sep 28, 2024Calor de San Pedro 0-0 Artesanos MetepecLiga Premier Serie B

Last archived meeting: Artesanos Metepec vs Calor de San Pedro on Feb 1, 2025

How many goals should we expect?

Artesanos Metepec score 1.5 and concede 0.7 goals per match over their last 15; Calor de San Pedro score 1.3 and concede 0.9. The model gives a 57% probability of over 2.5 goals and 56% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Artesanos Metepec1.50.756/155/15
Calor de San Pedro1.30.956/156/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.

Final 2025-26 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
5Calor de San Pedro261277372644

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Artesanos Metepec vs Calor de San Pedro?
The Footlab model makes Artesanos Metepec the favourite at 56%, against 24% for a draw and 21% for Calor de San Pedro.
Where and when is Artesanos Metepec vs Calor de San Pedro played?
Artesanos Metepec vs Calor de San Pedro is played on September 5, 2026 at 09:00 PM (UTC) at Unidad Deportiva Martín Alarcón Hisojo, in the Liga Premier Serie A.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 57% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Other matches in the same round

Next match: Artesanos Metepec and Calor de San Pedro

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