Artesanos Metepec vs Calor de San Pedro: prediction and stats
Liga Premier Serie AApertura - 2Kick-off on September 5, 2026 at 09:00 PM (UTC)Unidad Deportiva Martín Alarcón Hisojo, Metepec
The Footlab model makes Artesanos Metepec the favourite at 56%, against 24% for a draw and 21% for Calor de San Pedro. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Artesanos Metepec vs Calor de San Pedro?
A very open match: only 99 Elo points separate Artesanos Metepec (1,988) and Calor de San Pedro (1,888).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Artesanos Metepec have 9 wins, 2 draws and 4 defeats; Calor de San Pedro have 6, 4 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 18, 2026 | FC Racing(home) | 0-1 | Liga Premier Serie B |
| Apr 11, 2026 | FC Racing(away) | 3-1 | Liga Premier Serie B |
| Apr 4, 2026 | Gorilas de Juanacatlan(home) | 0-1 | Liga Premier Serie B |
| Apr 2, 2026 | Gorilas de Juanacatlan(away) | 3-1 | Liga Premier Serie B |
| Mar 14, 2026 | Caja Oblatos CFD(home) | 4-0 | Liga Premier Serie B |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 18, 2026 | Deportiva Venados(away) | 1-2 | Liga Premier Serie A |
| Apr 16, 2026 | Deportiva Venados(home) | 0-1 | Liga Premier Serie A |
| Apr 12, 2026 | Lobos ULMX(home) | 4-1 | Liga Premier Serie A |
| Apr 4, 2026 | Gavilanes FC Matamoros(home) | 2-0 | Liga Premier Serie A |
| Mar 29, 2026 | Real Apodaca(away) | 0-1 | Liga Premier Serie A |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 0 Artesanos Metepec win(s), 1 draw(s), 1 Calor de San Pedro win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 1, 2025 | Artesanos Metepec 0-1 Calor de San Pedro | Liga Premier Serie B |
| Sep 28, 2024 | Calor de San Pedro 0-0 Artesanos Metepec | Liga Premier Serie B |
Last archived meeting: Artesanos Metepec vs Calor de San Pedro on Feb 1, 2025
How many goals should we expect?
Artesanos Metepec score 1.5 and concede 0.7 goals per match over their last 15; Calor de San Pedro score 1.3 and concede 0.9. The model gives a 57% probability of over 2.5 goals and 56% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Artesanos Metepec | 1.5 | 0.7 | 5 | 6/15 | 5/15 |
| Calor de San Pedro | 1.3 | 0.9 | 5 | 6/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Calor de San Pedro | 26 | 12 | 7 | 7 | 37 | 26 | 44 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Artesanos Metepec vs Calor de San Pedro?
- The Footlab model makes Artesanos Metepec the favourite at 56%, against 24% for a draw and 21% for Calor de San Pedro.
- Where and when is Artesanos Metepec vs Calor de San Pedro played?
- Artesanos Metepec vs Calor de San Pedro is played on September 5, 2026 at 09:00 PM (UTC) at Unidad Deportiva Martín Alarcón Hisojo, in the Liga Premier Serie A.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 57% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
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