Match

FC Santiago vs Héroes de Zaci: prediction and stats

Liga Premier Serie AApertura - 2Kick-off on September 4, 2026 at 11:00 PM (UTC)Complejo Capilla Soccer Park, San Antonio

FC SantiagoHéroes de Zaci

The Footlab model makes FC Santiago the favourite at 76%, against 15% for a draw and 9% for Héroes de Zaci. The most likely score is 2-0.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win FC Santiago vs Héroes de Zaci?

FC Santiago starts as the favourite with a 194-point Elo edge (1,983 vs 1,789).

FC Santiago win76 %
Draw15 %
Héroes de Zaci win9 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, FC Santiago have 7 wins, 6 draws and 2 defeats; Héroes de Zaci have 6, 0 and 9.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

FC Santiago
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Apr 19, 2026Zacatepec 1948(home)2-3Liga Premier Serie A
Apr 15, 2026Zacatepec 1948(away)1-1Liga Premier Serie A
Apr 11, 2026Sporting Canamy(away)6-0Liga Premier Serie A
Apr 6, 2026Zitacuaro(away)1-1Liga Premier Serie A
Mar 31, 2026Ciervos(home)5-0Liga Premier Serie A
Héroes de Zaci
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Apr 10, 2026Montañeses(home)1-0Liga Premier Serie A
Apr 5, 2026Neza(away)6-0Liga Premier Serie A
Apr 1, 2026Cañoneros Marina(away)0-5Liga Premier Serie A
Mar 28, 2026Inter Playa del Carmen(away)0-4Liga Premier Serie A
Mar 13, 2026Celaya(home)3-2Liga Premier Serie A

How many goals should we expect?

FC Santiago score 2.0 and concede 0.7 goals per match over their last 15; Héroes de Zaci score 1.2 and concede 2.3. The model gives a 69% probability of over 2.5 goals and 53% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
FC Santiago2.00.768/156/15
Héroes de Zaci1.22.335/1511/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

FC Santiago sit 2nd in Liga Premier Serie A (51 points from 26 matches) and Héroes de Zaci sit 9th (34 points from 24 matches).

The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.

Final 2025-26 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
2FC Santiago261475432151
9Héroes de Zaci2410212334634

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for FC Santiago vs Héroes de Zaci?
The Footlab model makes FC Santiago the favourite at 76%, against 15% for a draw and 9% for Héroes de Zaci.
Where and when is FC Santiago vs Héroes de Zaci played?
FC Santiago vs Héroes de Zaci is played on September 4, 2026 at 11:00 PM (UTC) at Complejo Capilla Soccer Park, in the Liga Premier Serie A.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 69% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

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Next match: FC Santiago and Héroes de Zaci

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