Where and when is Correcaminos UAT II vs Mineros de Fresnillo played?

Correcaminos UAT II vs Mineros de Fresnillo is played on September 5, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Universitario Prof. Eugenio Alvizo Porras, in the Liga Premier Serie A.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 47% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Correcaminos UAT II vs Mineros de Fresnillo: prediction and stats

Liga Premier Serie AApertura - 2Kick-off on September 5, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Universitario Prof. Eugenio Alvizo Porras, Ciudad Víctoria

Correcaminos UAT II

Mineros de Fresnillo

The Footlab model makes Correcaminos UAT II the favourite at 40%, against 28% for a draw and 31% for Mineros de Fresnillo. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Correcaminos UAT II vs Mineros de Fresnillo?

A very open match: only 37 Elo points separate Correcaminos UAT II (1,815) and Mineros de Fresnillo (1,852).

Correcaminos UAT II win40 %

Draw28 %

Mineros de Fresnillo win31 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Correcaminos UAT II have 5 wins, 2 draws and 8 defeats; Mineros de Fresnillo have 6, 6 and 3.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Correcaminos UAT II
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Apr 11, 2026	Real Apodaca(home)	1-0	Liga Premier Serie A
Mar 28, 2026	Chilpancingo(away)	1-2	Liga Premier Serie A
Mar 21, 2026	FC Santiago(home)	1-1	Liga Premier Serie A
Mar 14, 2026	Zacatepec 1948(away)	2-3	Liga Premier Serie A
Mar 7, 2026	Sporting Canamy(home)	2-4	Liga Premier Serie A

Mineros de Fresnillo
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Apr 19, 2026	Cimarrones(away)	1-1	Liga Premier Serie A
Apr 15, 2026	Cimarrones(home)	1-1	Liga Premier Serie A
Apr 11, 2026	Durango(away)	1-2	Liga Premier Serie A
Mar 28, 2026	Reboceros La Piedad(home)	6-2	Liga Premier Serie A
Mar 21, 2026	Colima(away)	0-0	Liga Premier Serie A

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 4 Correcaminos UAT II win(s), 0 draw(s), 2 Mineros de Fresnillo win(s).

Date	Score	Competition
May 4, 2024	Correcaminos UAT II 2-1 Mineros de Fresnillo	Liga Premier Serie A
May 1, 2024	Mineros de Fresnillo 2-0 Correcaminos UAT II	Liga Premier Serie A
Mar 2, 2024	Mineros de Fresnillo 3-1 Correcaminos UAT II	Liga Premier Serie A
Sep 29, 2023	Correcaminos UAT II 2-0 Mineros de Fresnillo	Liga Premier Serie A
Mar 13, 2022	Mineros de Fresnillo 1-3 Correcaminos UAT II	Liga Premier Serie A
Nov 6, 2021	Correcaminos UAT II 3-0 Mineros de Fresnillo	Liga Premier Serie A

Last archived meeting: Correcaminos UAT II vs Mineros de Fresnillo on May 4, 2024

How many goals should we expect?

Correcaminos UAT II score 1.1 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Mineros de Fresnillo score 1.7 and concede 1.2. The model gives a 47% probability of over 2.5 goals and 52% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Correcaminos UAT II	1.1	1.3	4	7/15	6/15
Mineros de Fresnillo	1.7	1.2	4	10/15	8/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Correcaminos UAT II sit 8th in Liga Premier Serie A (36 points from 26 matches) and Mineros de Fresnillo sit 7th (39 points from 26 matches).

The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.

Final 2025-26 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
7	Mineros de Fresnillo	26	11	4	11	40	41	39
8	Correcaminos UAT II	26	9	7	10	27	25	36

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Correcaminos UAT II vs Mineros de Fresnillo?: The Footlab model makes Correcaminos UAT II the favourite at 40%, against 28% for a draw and 31% for Mineros de Fresnillo.
Where and when is Correcaminos UAT II vs Mineros de Fresnillo played?: Correcaminos UAT II vs Mineros de Fresnillo is played on September 5, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Universitario Prof. Eugenio Alvizo Porras, in the Liga Premier Serie A.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 47% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.