Cañoneros Marina vs Real Refineros: prediction and stats
Liga Premier Serie AApertura - 2Kick-off on September 5, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Campo Quirazco, Xalapa-Enríquez
The Footlab model makes Real Refineros the favourite at 37%, against 26% for a draw and 36% for Cañoneros Marina. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Limited history for at least one of the two teams: read this prediction with caution.
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Cañoneros Marina vs Real Refineros?
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Cañoneros Marina have 3 wins, 2 draws and 10 defeats; Real Refineros have 0, 0 and 0.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 10, 2026 | Racing de Veracruz(away) | 0-5 | Liga Premier Serie A |
| Apr 1, 2026 | Héroes de Zaci(home) | 5-0 | Liga Premier Serie A |
| Mar 28, 2026 | Tapachula(home) | 1-2 | Liga Premier Serie A |
| Mar 21, 2026 | Deportiva Venados(away) | 0-1 | Liga Premier Serie A |
| Mar 14, 2026 | Neza(home) | 3-2 | Liga Premier Serie A |
Where do both teams sit in the table?
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Cañoneros Marina | 24 | 7 | 1 | 16 | 25 | 49 | 22 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Cañoneros Marina vs Real Refineros?
- The Footlab model makes Real Refineros the favourite at 37%, against 26% for a draw and 36% for Cañoneros Marina.
- Where and when is Cañoneros Marina vs Real Refineros played?
- Cañoneros Marina vs Real Refineros is played on September 5, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Campo Quirazco, in the Liga Premier Serie A.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 55% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
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