Aruba vs Bermuda: result 3-1 and analysis
CONCACAF Nations League - QualificationGroup Stage - 1Kick-off on September 9, 2018 at 10:00 PM (UTC)Stadion Ergilio Hato, Willemstad
Full time
What was the result of Aruba vs Bermuda?
Aruba won 3-1 on September 9, 2018.
Goalscorers
- 7′206339Aruba
- 11′Raymond BatenAruba
- 21′Jonte Jahki SmithBermuda
- 50′168187Aruba
Official lineup for Aruba vs Bermuda
The starting elevens fielded at kick-off.
Aruba
- 7J. John
- 2G. Mulder
- 6Raymond Baten
- 1E. Abdul
- 4J. Vegas
- 8E. Santos de Gouveia
- 9F. Gómez
- 10C. Rua
- 11A. Kock
- 3Nickenson Stephan Paul
- 5Leroy Oehlers
Bermuda
- 9Jonte Jahki Smith
- 19R. Lambe
- 7W. Ming
- 11W. Clemons
- 17Osagi Bascome
- 2D. Usher
- 8D. Brangman
- 6J. Bather
- 16D. Leverock
- 18L. Simmons
- 1J. Hill
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 12 matches in all competitions, Aruba have 4 wins, 1 draw and 7 defeats; Bermuda have 4, 2 and 9.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 27, 2016 | St. Kitts and Nevis(home) | 0-2 | Caribbean Cup |
| Mar 23, 2016 | Antigua and Barbuda(away) | 1-2 | Caribbean Cup |
| Sep 9, 2015 | St. Vincent / Grenadines(home) | 2-1 | World Cup - Qualification CONCACAF |
| Sep 4, 2015 | St. Vincent / Grenadines(away) | 0-2 | World Cup - Qualification CONCACAF |
| Jun 14, 2015 | Barbados(away) | 3-0 | World Cup - Qualification CONCACAF |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 25, 2018 | Barbados(away) | 0-0 | Friendlies |
| Mar 21, 2018 | Antigua and Barbuda(away) | 2-3 | Friendlies |
| Oct 29, 2017 | Barbados(home) | 2-3 | Friendlies |
| Jun 10, 2017 | Grenada(away) | 0-1 | Friendlies |
| Jan 22, 2017 | Canada(home) | 2-4 | Friendlies |
How many goals should we expect?
Aruba score 1.6 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 12; Bermuda score 1.7 and concede 1.5.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aruba | 1.6 | 1.5 | 3 | 5/12 | 7/12 |
| Bermuda | 1.7 | 1.5 | 5 | 6/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 12 matches in all competitions.
A question about Aruba vs Bermuda?
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy