AS Eupen vs K. Lierse S.K.: prediction and stats
Challenger Pro LeagueRegular Season - 20Kick-off on February 13, 2027 at 07:00 PM (UTC)Kehrwegstadion, Eupen
The Footlab model makes AS Eupen the favourite at 48%, against 26% for a draw and 26% for K. Lierse S.K.. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win AS Eupen vs K. Lierse S.K.?
A very open match: only 9 Elo points separate AS Eupen (1,780) and K. Lierse S.K. (1,771).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, AS Eupen have 8 wins, 3 draws and 4 defeats; K. Lierse S.K. have 5, 4 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Lokeren-Temse(away) | 1-2 | Challenger Pro League |
| Aug 15, 2026 | KRC Genk II(home) | 4-1 | Challenger Pro League |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Seraing United(home) | 1-3 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 1, 2026 | VVV Venlo(away) | 3-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 29, 2026 | Aywaille(home) | 8-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Patro Eisden(home) | 2-1 | Challenger Pro League |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Excelsior Virton(away) | 0-3 | Challenger Pro League |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Thes Sport(away) | 1-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Merelbeke(away) | 2-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Cappellen(away) | 6-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 4 meetings: 0 AS Eupen win(s), 0 draw(s), 4 K. Lierse S.K. win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 10, 2026 | AS Eupen 0-1 K. Lierse S.K. | Challenger Pro League |
| Aug 23, 2025 | K. Lierse S.K. 3-2 AS Eupen | Challenger Pro League |
| Feb 9, 2025 | AS Eupen 1-3 K. Lierse S.K. | Challenger Pro League |
| Sep 21, 2024 | K. Lierse S.K. 3-0 AS Eupen | Challenger Pro League |
Last archived meeting: AS Eupen vs K. Lierse S.K. on Mar 10, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
AS Eupen score 2.7 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; K. Lierse S.K. score 1.4 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 52% probability of over 2.5 goals and 55% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| AS Eupen | 2.7 | 1.1 | 6 | 8/15 | 11/15 |
| K. Lierse S.K. | 1.4 | 1.1 | 4 | 7/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
AS Eupen sit 4th in Challenger Pro League (3 points from 2 matches) and K. Lierse S.K. sit 11th (3 points from 2 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | AS Eupen | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 3 | 3 |
| 11 | K. Lierse S.K. | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 3 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for AS Eupen vs K. Lierse S.K.?
- The Footlab model makes AS Eupen the favourite at 48%, against 26% for a draw and 26% for K. Lierse S.K..
- Where and when is AS Eupen vs K. Lierse S.K. played?
- AS Eupen vs K. Lierse S.K. is played on February 13, 2027 at 07:00 PM (UTC) at Kehrwegstadion, in the Challenger Pro League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 52% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.