AS Kigali vs Bugesera: prediction and stats
National Soccer LeagueRegular Season - 29Kick-off on April 24, 2027 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Stade Régional de Nyamirambo, Kigali
The Footlab AI model makes Bugesera the favourite at 35%, against 33% for a draw and 32% for AS Kigali. The most likely score is 0-0. If Bugesera wins, the most likely score is 0-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.5% of the 2,583 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 17, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win AS Kigali vs Bugesera?
A very open match: only 38 Elo points separate AS Kigali (1,620) and Bugesera (1,658).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for AS Kigali vs Bugesera
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
AS Kigali
Not enough data to predict the AS Kigali lineup.
Bugesera
Not enough data to predict the Bugesera lineup.
Computed on October 17, 2026 at 07:40 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, AS Kigali have 4 wins, 3 draws and 8 defeats; Bugesera have 7, 1 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 9, 2026 | Gicumbi(home) | 1-0 | National Soccer League |
| Sep 16, 2026 | Al Hilal Omdurman(home) | 0-2 | National Soccer League |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Etoile de l'Est(away) | 0-0 | National Soccer League |
| Sep 6, 2026 | Marines(away) | 0-2 | National Soccer League |
| May 30, 2026 | Musanze(home) | 2-1 | National Soccer League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Etincelles(home) | 2-0 | National Soccer League |
| Sep 15, 2026 | Kiyovu Sports(away) | 0-1 | National Soccer League |
| May 30, 2026 | Rutsiro(away) | 2-0 | National Soccer League |
| May 26, 2026 | Rayon Sports(away) | 0-2 | National Soccer League |
| May 16, 2026 | Mukura(away) | 2-2 | National Soccer League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 AS Kigali wins, 2 draws, 1 Bugesera win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 21, 2026 | Bugesera 2-0 AS Kigali | National Soccer League |
| Dec 19, 2025 | AS Kigali 0-0 Bugesera | National Soccer League |
| Feb 8, 2025 | AS Kigali 1-0 Bugesera | National Soccer League |
| Dec 7, 2024 | Bugesera 1-2 AS Kigali | National Soccer League |
| Jan 13, 2024 | Bugesera 0-0 AS Kigali | National Soccer League |
| Aug 21, 2023 | AS Kigali 1-0 Bugesera | National Soccer League |
Last archived meeting: Bugesera vs AS Kigali on Mar 21, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
AS Kigali score 0.7 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Bugesera score 1.1 and concede 1.2. The model gives a 30% probability of over 2.5 goals and 39% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| AS Kigali | 0.7 | 1.3 | 4 | 7/15 | 6/15 |
| Bugesera | 1.1 | 1.2 | 6 | 3/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
AS Kigali sit 11th in National Soccer League (4 points from 4 matches) and Bugesera sit 14th (3 points from 2 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | AS Kigali | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 4 |
| 14 | Bugesera | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
A question about AS Kigali vs Bugesera?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for AS Kigali vs Bugesera?
- The Footlab AI model makes Bugesera the favourite at 35%, against 33% for a draw and 32% for AS Kigali.
- Where and when is AS Kigali vs Bugesera played?
- AS Kigali vs Bugesera is played on April 24, 2027 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at Stade Régional de Nyamirambo, in the National Soccer League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 30% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.5% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.