Match

AS Roma vs Lille: prediction and stats

UEFA Champions LeagueLeague Stage - 8Kick-off on January 27, 2027 at 08:00 PM (UTC)Stadio Olimpico, Roma

AS RomaLille

The Footlab AI model makes AS Roma the favourite at 53%, against 23% for a draw and 24% for Lille. The most likely score is 1-1. If AS Roma wins, the most likely score is 2-1.

Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.7% of the 2,404 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Oct 15, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win AS Roma vs Lille?

On Elo ratings, AS Roma has 2,123 points and Lille 2,135.

53%23%24%
AS Roma winDrawLille win

Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.

See the probabilities after AI analysisThe AI adds press reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

Probable lineup for AS Roma vs Lille

Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.

AS Roma

3-4-2-1
  1. 14D. Malen
  1. 21P. Dybala
  2. 43Wesley
  3. 17M. Koné
  4. 20N. Molina
  5. 18M. Soulé
  6. 15M. de Roon
  1. 22Hermoso
  2. 23G. Mancini
  3. 5E. Ndicka
  1. 95P. Gollini

Lille

4-2-3-1
  1. 18A. Ueda
  1. 6N. Bentaleb
  2. 10H. Haraldsson
  3. 17N. Mukau
  4. 7D. Bakwa
  5. 21B. André
  1. 4Alexsandro Ribeiro
  2. 15R. Perraud
  3. 3N. Ngoy
  4. 38M. Goffi
  1. 1B. Özer

Computed on October 15, 2026 at 08:03 AM (UTC).

See the lineup updated by the AIPress reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, AS Roma have 7 wins, 5 draws and 3 defeats; Lille have 8, 3 and 4.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

AS Roma
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 14, 2026Real Madrid(home)3-4UEFA Champions League
Oct 11, 2026Como(away)0-0Serie A
Sep 19, 2026Inter(home)2-2Serie A
Sep 14, 2026Torino(away)2-0Serie A
Sep 10, 2026Fenerbahçe(away)1-1UEFA Champions League
Lille
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 13, 2026Arsenal(away)0-3UEFA Champions League
Oct 10, 2026Le Havre(home)1-0Ligue 1
Oct 2, 2026Zulte Waregem(home)2-1Friendlies Clubs
Sep 20, 2026Nice(away)1-2Ligue 1
Sep 13, 2026Estac Troyes(home)2-0Ligue 1

What does the head-to-head say?

In the last meeting: 0 AS Roma wins, 0 draws, 1 Lille win.

DateScoreCompetition
Oct 2, 2025AS Roma 0-1 LilleUEFA Europa League

Last archived meeting: AS Roma vs Lille on Oct 2, 2025

How many goals should we expect?

AS Roma score 2.1 and concede 1.4 goals per match over their last 15; Lille score 1.7 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 64% probability of over 2.5 goals and 63% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
AS Roma2.11.468/1510/15
Lille1.71.367/158/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

AS Roma sit 25th in UEFA Champions League (1 point from 2 matches) and Lille sit 34th (0 points from 2 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
25AS Roma2011451
34Lille2002260

A question about AS Roma vs Lille?

Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.

Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for AS Roma vs Lille?
The Footlab AI model makes AS Roma the favourite at 53%, against 23% for a draw and 24% for Lille.
Where and when is AS Roma vs Lille played?
AS Roma vs Lille is played on January 27, 2027 at 08:00 PM (UTC) at Stadio Olimpico, in the UEFA Champions League.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab AI model gives a 64% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.7% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.

Other matches in the same round

Next match: AS Roma and Lille

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