Match

Monza vs AS Roma: prediction and stats

Serie ARegular Season - 22Kick-off on January 31, 2027 at 05:30 PM (UTC)U-Power Stadium, Monza

MonzaAS Roma

The Footlab AI model makes AS Roma the favourite at 62%, against 23% for a draw and 15% for Monza. The most likely score is 0-1.

Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.6% of the 2,402 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Oct 15, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Monza vs AS Roma?

AS Roma starts as the favourite with a 244-point Elo edge (2,123 vs 1,879).

15%23%62%
Monza winDrawAS Roma win

Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.

See the probabilities after AI analysisThe AI adds press reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

Probable lineup for Monza vs AS Roma

Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.

Monza

3-4-2-1
  1. 9Gustavo Varela
  1. 7Ricardo Mangas
  2. 19S. Birindelli
  3. 14E. Akinsanmiro
  4. 90M. Folorunsho
  5. 16C. Ngonge
  6. 22E. Zeballos
  1. 3L. Lucchesi
  2. 60E. Kouadio
  3. 44A. Carboni
  1. 1N. Törnqvist

AS Roma

3-4-2-1
  1. 14D. Malen
  1. 21P. Dybala
  2. 43Wesley
  3. 17M. Koné
  4. 20N. Molina
  5. 15M. de Roon
  6. 4B. Cristante
  1. 22Hermoso
  2. 23G. Mancini
  3. 5E. Ndicka
  1. 95P. Gollini

Computed on October 15, 2026 at 08:29 AM (UTC).

See the lineup updated by the AIPress reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Monza have 6 wins, 3 draws and 6 defeats; AS Roma have 7, 5 and 3.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Monza
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 11, 2026Lazio(away)1-3Serie A
Oct 3, 2026Stade Brestois 29(away)2-2Friendlies Clubs
Sep 18, 2026Sassuolo(home)2-1Serie A
Sep 13, 2026Lecce(away)2-3Serie A
Sep 6, 2026Parma(away)1-1Serie A
AS Roma
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 14, 2026Real Madrid(home)3-4UEFA Champions League
Oct 11, 2026Como(away)0-0Serie A
Sep 19, 2026Inter(home)2-2Serie A
Sep 14, 2026Torino(away)2-0Serie A
Sep 10, 2026Fenerbahçe(away)1-1UEFA Champions League

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 0 Monza wins, 2 draws, 4 AS Roma wins.

DateScoreCompetition
Feb 24, 2025AS Roma 4-0 MonzaSerie A
Oct 6, 2024Monza 1-1 AS RomaSerie A
Mar 2, 2024Monza 1-4 AS RomaSerie A
Oct 22, 2023AS Roma 1-0 MonzaSerie A
May 3, 2023Monza 1-1 AS RomaSerie A
Aug 30, 2022AS Roma 3-0 MonzaSerie A

Last archived meeting: AS Roma vs Monza on Feb 24, 2025

How many goals should we expect?

Monza score 1.8 and concede 1.9 goals per match over their last 15; AS Roma score 2.1 and concede 1.4. The model gives a 51% probability of over 2.5 goals and 48% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Monza1.81.9410/1510/15
AS Roma2.11.468/1510/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Monza sit 16th in Serie A (4 points from 6 matches) and AS Roma sit 3rd (14 points from 6 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
3AS Roma642014314
16Monza61149154

A question about Monza vs AS Roma?

Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.

Ask the AI a questionOpen the full match card in the app

Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Monza vs AS Roma?
The Footlab AI model makes AS Roma the favourite at 62%, against 23% for a draw and 15% for Monza.
Where and when is Monza vs AS Roma played?
Monza vs AS Roma is played on January 31, 2027 at 05:30 PM (UTC) at U-Power Stadium, in the Serie A.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab AI model gives a 51% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.6% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.

Other matches in the same round

Next match: Monza and AS Roma

Ready to know everything about football?