ASA Aarhus vs Holstebro: prediction and stats
3. DivisionRegular Season - 5Kick-off on August 28, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC)ASA grounds (boldbaner), Århus
The Footlab model makes ASA Aarhus the favourite at 38%, against 24% for a draw and 37% for Holstebro. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win ASA Aarhus vs Holstebro?
A very open match: only 81 Elo points separate ASA Aarhus (1,632) and Holstebro (1,713).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, ASA Aarhus have 7 wins, 5 draws and 3 defeats; Holstebro have 9, 2 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Frem(away) | 1-3 | 3. Division |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Randers FC(home) | 0-4 | DBU Pokalen |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Vanløse(home) | 2-1 | 3. Division |
| Aug 11, 2026 | Ishøj(away) | 1-0 | 3. Division |
| Aug 4, 2026 | Viby(away) | 0-0 | DBU Pokalen |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | FC Helsingor(home) | 2-1 | 3. Division |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Ringsted(away) | 4-0 | 3. Division |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Holbæk B&I(home) | 2-2 | 3. Division |
| Aug 4, 2026 | Aalborg(home) | 1-3 | DBU Pokalen |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Hørsholm-Usserød(away) | 3-2 | 3. Division |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 5 meetings: 0 ASA Aarhus win(s), 2 draw(s), 3 Holstebro win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Nov 1, 2025 | Holstebro 1-1 ASA Aarhus | Denmark Series - Group 4 |
| Aug 29, 2025 | ASA Aarhus 1-2 Holstebro | Denmark Series - Group 4 |
| Jun 18, 2022 | Holstebro 0-0 ASA Aarhus | Denmark Series - Group 4 |
| Apr 18, 2022 | ASA Aarhus 0-1 Holstebro | Denmark Series - Group 4 |
| Oct 3, 2021 | Holstebro 2-0 ASA Aarhus | Denmark Series - Group 4 |
Last archived meeting: Holstebro vs ASA Aarhus on Nov 1, 2025
How many goals should we expect?
ASA Aarhus score 1.9 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Holstebro score 2.3 and concede 1.8. The model gives a 64% probability of over 2.5 goals and 66% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ASA Aarhus | 1.9 | 1.3 | 5 | 9/15 | 8/15 |
| Holstebro | 2.3 | 1.8 | 3 | 11/15 | 13/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
ASA Aarhus sit 5th in 3. Division (7 points from 3 matches) and Holstebro sit 2nd (7 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Holstebro | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 9 | 4 | 7 |
| 5 | ASA Aarhus | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 7 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for ASA Aarhus vs Holstebro?
- The Footlab model makes ASA Aarhus the favourite at 38%, against 24% for a draw and 37% for Holstebro.
- Where and when is ASA Aarhus vs Holstebro played?
- ASA Aarhus vs Holstebro is played on August 28, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at ASA grounds (boldbaner), in the 3. Division.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 64% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.