ASAS vs Masr: prediction and stats
CAF Confederation Cup1st Preliminary RoundKick-off on September 12, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Stade El Hadj Hassan Gouled, Djibouti (Ville de Djibouti)
The Footlab model makes Masr the favourite at 36%, against 31% for a draw and 33% for ASAS. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 23, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win ASAS vs Masr?
Masr is a heavy favourite: 1,842 Elo points against 1,468 — a 374-point gap.
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 12 matches in all competitions, ASAS have 1 wins, 4 draws and 7 defeats; Masr have 5, 5 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 27, 2025 | Aigle Noir(home) | 1-1 | CAF Champions League |
| Sep 21, 2025 | Aigle Noir(away) | 0-0 | CAF Champions League |
| Jul 16, 2024 | Red Arrows(home) | 0-1 | CECAFA Club Cup |
| Jul 13, 2024 | GOR Mahia(away) | 1-1 | CECAFA Club Cup |
| Jul 10, 2024 | Al Hilal Omdurman(away) | 0-2 | CECAFA Club Cup |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Wadi Degla(away) | 0-0 | Premier League |
| Jun 8, 2026 | Wadi Degla(home) | 0-2 | League Cup |
| Jun 1, 2026 | AL Masry(away) | 0-1 | League Cup |
| May 29, 2026 | Kahraba Ismailia(home) | 1-1 | Premier League |
| May 25, 2026 | AL Masry(home) | 1-0 | League Cup |
How many goals should we expect?
ASAS score 0.5 and concede 1.6 goals per match over their last 12; Masr score 1.2 and concede 1.2. The model gives a 36% probability of over 2.5 goals and 44% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ASAS | 0.5 | 1.6 | 2 | 4/12 | 3/12 |
| Masr | 1.2 | 1.2 | 4 | 9/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 12 matches in all competitions.
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for ASAS vs Masr?
- The Footlab model makes Masr the favourite at 36%, against 31% for a draw and 33% for ASAS.
- Where and when is ASAS vs Masr played?
- ASAS vs Masr is played on September 12, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Stade El Hadj Hassan Gouled, in the CAF Confederation Cup.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 36% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.