ASC Dortmund vs Erkenschwick: prediction and stats
Oberliga - WestfalenWestfalen - 28Kick-off on April 18, 2027 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Waldstadion Aplerbeck, Dortmund
The Footlab model makes ASC Dortmund the favourite at 66%, against 19% for a draw and 15% for Erkenschwick. The most likely score is 2-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win ASC Dortmund vs Erkenschwick?
ASC Dortmund starts as the favourite with a 215-point Elo edge (1,864 vs 1,649).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, ASC Dortmund have 8 wins, 4 draws and 3 defeats; Erkenschwick have 3, 6 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | SpVgg Herne Horsthausen(away) | 4-1 | Oberliga - Westfalen |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Vreden(away) | 2-5 | Oberliga - Westfalen |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Maaslingen(away) | 1-3 | Oberliga - Westfalen |
| May 31, 2026 | Ennepetal(away) | 1-1 | Oberliga - Westfalen |
| May 25, 2026 | Vreden(home) | 1-0 | Oberliga - Westfalen |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Gievenbeck(away) | 1-0 | Oberliga - Westfalen |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Ennepetal(home) | 1-0 | Oberliga - Westfalen |
| Aug 9, 2026 | TuS Hordel(away) | 1-1 | Oberliga - Westfalen |
| May 31, 2026 | Vreden(away) | 0-3 | Oberliga - Westfalen |
| May 25, 2026 | SG Wattenscheid 09(home) | 1-5 | Oberliga - Westfalen |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 ASC Dortmund win(s), 1 draw(s), 3 Erkenschwick win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 19, 2026 | Erkenschwick 2-3 ASC Dortmund | Oberliga - Westfalen |
| Nov 2, 2025 | ASC Dortmund 2-4 Erkenschwick | Oberliga - Westfalen |
| Apr 26, 2025 | Erkenschwick 0-5 ASC Dortmund | Oberliga - Westfalen |
| Nov 10, 2024 | ASC Dortmund 2-2 Erkenschwick | Oberliga - Westfalen |
| Mar 3, 2024 | Erkenschwick 3-0 ASC Dortmund | Oberliga - Westfalen |
| Sep 3, 2023 | ASC Dortmund 0-1 Erkenschwick | Oberliga - Westfalen |
Last archived meeting: Erkenschwick vs ASC Dortmund on Apr 19, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
ASC Dortmund score 1.8 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Erkenschwick score 0.9 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 66% probability of over 2.5 goals and 59% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ASC Dortmund | 1.8 | 1.5 | 4 | 11/15 | 8/15 |
| Erkenschwick | 0.9 | 1.5 | 6 | 7/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
ASC Dortmund sit 16th in Oberliga - Westfalen (0 points from 2 matches) and Erkenschwick sit 3rd (7 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Erkenschwick | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 7 |
| 16 | ASC Dortmund | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 8 | 0 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for ASC Dortmund vs Erkenschwick?
- The Footlab model makes ASC Dortmund the favourite at 66%, against 19% for a draw and 15% for Erkenschwick.
- Where and when is ASC Dortmund vs Erkenschwick played?
- ASC Dortmund vs Erkenschwick is played on April 18, 2027 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at Waldstadion Aplerbeck, in the Oberliga - Westfalen.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 66% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Apr 18, 2027SpVgg Herne HorsthausenvsEnnepetal
- Apr 18, 2027Eintracht RheinevsLippstadt 08
- Apr 18, 2027HiltrupvsWestfalia Kinderhaus
- Apr 18, 2027SchermbeckvsMaaslingen
- Apr 18, 2027VredenvsGievenbeck
- Apr 18, 2027SprockhovelvsTuS Hordel
- Apr 18, 2027Arminia IIvsVictoria Clarholz
- Apr 18, 2027Verl IIvsPreußen Münster II