ASC Dortmund vs Erkenschwick: prediction and stats
Oberliga - WestfalenWestfalen - 28Kick-off on April 18, 2027 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Waldstadion Aplerbeck, Dortmund
The Footlab AI model makes ASC Dortmund the favourite at 65%, against 19% for a draw and 16% for Erkenschwick. The most likely score is 2-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.4% of the 2,805 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 19, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win ASC Dortmund vs Erkenschwick?
ASC Dortmund starts as the favourite with a 197-point Elo edge (1,901 vs 1,704).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for ASC Dortmund vs Erkenschwick
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
ASC Dortmund
Not enough data to predict the ASC Dortmund lineup.
Erkenschwick
Not enough data to predict the Erkenschwick lineup.
Computed on October 19, 2026 at 11:23 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, ASC Dortmund have 8 wins, 2 draws and 5 defeats; Erkenschwick have 5, 4 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 18, 2026 | Erkenschwick(away) | 1-0 | Oberliga - Westfalen |
| Oct 14, 2026 | Schermbeck(home) | 1-0 | Oberliga - Westfalen |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Gievenbeck(home) | 1-2 | Oberliga - Westfalen |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Ennepetal(away) | 5-1 | Oberliga - Westfalen |
| Sep 27, 2026 | TuS Hordel(home) | 3-3 | Oberliga - Westfalen |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 18, 2026 | ASC Dortmund(home) | 0-1 | Oberliga - Westfalen |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Hiltrup(away) | 1-2 | Oberliga - Westfalen |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Verl II(home) | 4-1 | Oberliga - Westfalen |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Arminia II(away) | 1-2 | Oberliga - Westfalen |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Victoria Clarholz(home) | 3-2 | Oberliga - Westfalen |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 ASC Dortmund wins, 1 draw, 2 Erkenschwick wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Oct 18, 2026 | Erkenschwick 0-1 ASC Dortmund | Oberliga - Westfalen |
| Apr 19, 2026 | Erkenschwick 2-3 ASC Dortmund | Oberliga - Westfalen |
| Nov 2, 2025 | ASC Dortmund 2-4 Erkenschwick | Oberliga - Westfalen |
| Apr 26, 2025 | Erkenschwick 0-5 ASC Dortmund | Oberliga - Westfalen |
| Nov 10, 2024 | ASC Dortmund 2-2 Erkenschwick | Oberliga - Westfalen |
| Mar 3, 2024 | Erkenschwick 3-0 ASC Dortmund | Oberliga - Westfalen |
Last archived meeting: Erkenschwick vs ASC Dortmund on Oct 18, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
ASC Dortmund score 2.0 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Erkenschwick score 1.2 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 70% probability of over 2.5 goals and 63% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ASC Dortmund | 2.0 | 1.5 | 5 | 10/15 | 9/15 |
| Erkenschwick | 1.2 | 1.5 | 2 | 10/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
ASC Dortmund sit 7th in Oberliga - Westfalen (16 points from 10 matches) and Erkenschwick sit 5th (18 points from 10 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Erkenschwick | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 16 | 11 | 18 |
| 7 | ASC Dortmund | 10 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 24 | 19 | 16 |
A question about ASC Dortmund vs Erkenschwick?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for ASC Dortmund vs Erkenschwick?
- The Footlab AI model makes ASC Dortmund the favourite at 65%, against 19% for a draw and 16% for Erkenschwick.
- Where and when is ASC Dortmund vs Erkenschwick played?
- ASC Dortmund vs Erkenschwick is played on April 18, 2027 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at Waldstadion Aplerbeck, in the Oberliga - Westfalen.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 70% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.4% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Apr 18, 2027SpVgg Herne HorsthausenvsEnnepetal
- Apr 18, 2027Eintracht RheinevsLippstadt 08
- Apr 18, 2027HiltrupvsWestfalia Kinderhaus
- Apr 18, 2027SchermbeckvsMaaslingen
- Apr 18, 2027VredenvsGievenbeck
- Apr 18, 2027SprockhovelvsTuS Hordel
- Apr 18, 2027Arminia IIvsVictoria Clarholz
- Apr 18, 2027Verl IIvsPreußen Münster II