Vreden vs Gievenbeck: prediction and stats
Oberliga - WestfalenWestfalen - 28Kick-off on April 18, 2027 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Hamalandstadion, Vreden
The Footlab model makes Vreden the favourite at 41%, against 24% for a draw and 35% for Gievenbeck. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Vreden vs Gievenbeck?
A very open match: only 65 Elo points separate Vreden (1,659) and Gievenbeck (1,724).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Vreden have 6 wins, 1 draws and 8 defeats; Gievenbeck have 5, 4 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Maaslingen(away) | 2-5 | Oberliga - Westfalen |
| Aug 16, 2026 | ASC Dortmund(home) | 5-2 | Oberliga - Westfalen |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Hiltrup(home) | 2-0 | Oberliga - Westfalen |
| May 31, 2026 | Erkenschwick(home) | 3-0 | Oberliga - Westfalen |
| May 25, 2026 | ASC Dortmund(away) | 0-1 | Oberliga - Westfalen |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Erkenschwick(home) | 0-1 | Oberliga - Westfalen |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Maaslingen(home) | 3-1 | Oberliga - Westfalen |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Ennepetal(away) | 1-1 | Oberliga - Westfalen |
| May 30, 2026 | Arminia II(home) | 3-0 | Oberliga - Westfalen |
| May 25, 2026 | Verl II(away) | 3-3 | Oberliga - Westfalen |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Vreden win(s), 1 draw(s), 3 Gievenbeck win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 2, 2026 | Gievenbeck 4-2 Vreden | Oberliga - Westfalen |
| Oct 12, 2025 | Vreden 2-0 Gievenbeck | Oberliga - Westfalen |
| Mar 2, 2025 | Gievenbeck 1-2 Vreden | Oberliga - Westfalen |
| Aug 11, 2024 | Vreden 0-1 Gievenbeck | Oberliga - Westfalen |
| May 3, 2024 | Gievenbeck 4-0 Vreden | Oberliga - Westfalen |
| Nov 12, 2023 | Vreden 0-0 Gievenbeck | Oberliga - Westfalen |
How many goals should we expect?
Vreden score 1.6 and concede 2.1 goals per match over their last 15; Gievenbeck score 1.9 and concede 1.6. The model gives a 67% probability of over 2.5 goals and 68% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Vreden | 1.6 | 2.1 | 4 | 8/15 | 9/15 |
| Gievenbeck | 1.9 | 1.6 | 2 | 11/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Vreden sit 4th in Oberliga - Westfalen (6 points from 2 matches) and Gievenbeck sit 9th (4 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Vreden | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 2 | 6 |
| 9 | Gievenbeck | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 4 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Vreden vs Gievenbeck?
- The Footlab model makes Vreden the favourite at 41%, against 24% for a draw and 35% for Gievenbeck.
- Where and when is Vreden vs Gievenbeck played?
- Vreden vs Gievenbeck is played on April 18, 2027 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at Hamalandstadion, in the Oberliga - Westfalen.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 67% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Apr 18, 2027SpVgg Herne HorsthausenvsEnnepetal
- Apr 18, 2027SprockhovelvsTuS Hordel
- Apr 18, 2027Eintracht RheinevsLippstadt 08
- Apr 18, 2027HiltrupvsWestfalia Kinderhaus
- Apr 18, 2027SchermbeckvsMaaslingen
- Apr 18, 2027ASC DortmundvsErkenschwick
- Apr 18, 2027Arminia IIvsVictoria Clarholz
- Apr 18, 2027Verl IIvsPreußen Münster II