Ascoli vs Palermo: prediction and stats
Serie BRegular Season - 11Kick-off on November 7, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Stadio Cino e Lillo Del Duca, Ascoli Piceno
The Footlab AI model makes Palermo the favourite at 39%, against 28% for a draw and 33% for Ascoli. The most likely score is 1-1. If Palermo wins, the most likely score is 0-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.6% of the 2,366 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 13, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Ascoli vs Palermo?
A very open match: only 41 Elo points separate Ascoli (1,964) and Palermo (2,005).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Ascoli vs Palermo
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Ascoli
4-2-3-1- 35G. Gori
- 62T. Milanese
- 15S. D'Uffizi
- 8G. Corradini
- 4S. Damiani
- 7A. Silipo
- 30M. Curado
- 19A. Guiébré
- 33N. Rizzo
- 14A. Oliveri
- 1S. Vitale
Palermo
4-2-3-1- 20J. Pohjanpalo
- 8J. Segre
- 10F. Ranocchia
- 9D. Vavassori
- 17D. Johnsen
- 5A. Palumbo
- 3T. Augello
- 13M. Bani
- 32P. Ceccaroni
- 84T. Cassandro
- 14M. Fortin
Computed on October 13, 2026 at 11:03 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Ascoli have 7 wins, 3 draws and 5 defeats; Palermo have 10, 3 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Sudtirol(away) | 0-0 | Serie B |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Avellino(home) | 3-1 | Serie B |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Padova(away) | 0-1 | Serie B |
| Sep 5, 2026 | Benevento(home) | 1-0 | Serie B |
| Aug 29, 2026 | Carrarese(home) | 1-1 | Serie B |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Empoli(away) | 4-2 | Serie B |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Padova(home) | 2-1 | Serie B |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Avellino(away) | 1-1 | Serie B |
| Sep 7, 2026 | Sampdoria(home) | 3-1 | Serie B |
| Sep 3, 2026 | Mantova(home) | 5-2 | Coppa Italia |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Ascoli win, 1 draw, 4 Palermo wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 5, 2024 | Palermo 2-2 Ascoli | Serie B |
| Sep 16, 2023 | Ascoli 0-1 Palermo | Serie B |
| Jan 29, 2023 | Ascoli 1-2 Palermo | Serie B |
| Aug 27, 2022 | Palermo 2-3 Ascoli | Serie B |
| May 4, 2019 | Ascoli 1-2 Palermo | Serie B |
| Dec 27, 2018 | Palermo 3-0 Ascoli | Serie B |
How many goals should we expect?
Ascoli score 1.5 and concede 1.0 goals per match over their last 15; Palermo score 2.3 and concede 1.0. The model gives a 48% probability of over 2.5 goals and 54% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ascoli | 1.5 | 1.0 | 5 | 8/15 | 8/15 |
| Palermo | 2.3 | 1.0 | 5 | 8/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Ascoli sit 5th in Serie B (11 points from 6 matches) and Palermo sit 1st (16 points from 6 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Palermo | 6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 14 | 7 | 16 |
| 5 | Ascoli | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 4 | 11 |
A question about Ascoli vs Palermo?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Ascoli vs Palermo?
- The Footlab AI model makes Palermo the favourite at 39%, against 28% for a draw and 33% for Ascoli.
- Where and when is Ascoli vs Palermo played?
- Ascoli vs Palermo is played on November 7, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at Stadio Cino e Lillo Del Duca, in the Serie B.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 48% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.6% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.