Benevento vs Avellino: prediction and stats
Serie BRegular Season - 11Kick-off on November 7, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Stadio Ciro Vigorito, Benevento
The Footlab AI model makes Benevento the favourite at 57%, against 25% for a draw and 18% for Avellino. The most likely score is 1-1. If Benevento wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.9% of the 1,758 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 8, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Benevento vs Avellino?
Benevento starts as the favourite with a 113-point Elo edge (1,984 vs 1,871).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Benevento vs Avellino
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Benevento
4-3-2-1- 9F. Salvemini
- 11D. Lamesta
- 8M. Maita
- 29D. Okereke
- 6A. Siatounis
- 28C. Kouan
- 14S. Scognamillo
- 23P. Saio
- 77E. Pierozzi
- 17L. Sernicola
- 26G. Vannucchi
Avellino
3-5-2- 10R. Russo
- 9W. Cheddira
- 27B. Moruzzi
- 39M. Besaggio
- 20M. Palumbo
- 8L. Di Maggio
- 2F. Missori
- 4A. Izzo
- 56P. Enrici
- 23M. Venturi
- 50T. Martinelli
Computed on October 8, 2026 at 06:20 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Benevento have 7 wins, 4 draws and 4 defeats; Avellino have 7, 2 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 2, 2026 | Frosinone(away) | 1-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Carrarese(away) | 1-0 | Serie B |
| Sep 11, 2026 | Hellas Verona(home) | 3-1 | Serie B |
| Sep 5, 2026 | Ascoli(away) | 0-1 | Serie B |
| Aug 30, 2026 | Sudtirol(home) | 1-1 | Serie B |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 19, 2026 | Ascoli(away) | 1-3 | Serie B |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Palermo(home) | 1-1 | Serie B |
| Sep 6, 2026 | Modena(away) | 1-0 | Serie B |
| Aug 29, 2026 | Vicenza Virtus(home) | 3-0 | Serie B |
| Aug 22, 2026 | Arezzo(home) | 1-2 | Serie B |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Benevento win, 2 draws, 3 Avellino wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 30, 2025 | Avellino 2-1 Benevento | Serie C - Girone C |
| Nov 17, 2024 | Benevento 2-2 Avellino | Serie C - Girone C |
| Apr 15, 2024 | Avellino 1-0 Benevento | Serie C - Girone C |
| Dec 10, 2023 | Benevento 0-1 Avellino | Serie C - Girone C |
| May 1, 2017 | Benevento 2-1 Avellino | Serie B |
| Dec 10, 2016 | Avellino 1-1 Benevento | Serie B |
Last archived meeting: Avellino vs Benevento on Mar 30, 2025
How many goals should we expect?
Benevento score 1.8 and concede 1.4 goals per match over their last 15; Avellino score 1.6 and concede 1.4. The model gives a 50% probability of over 2.5 goals and 50% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Benevento | 1.8 | 1.4 | 3 | 11/15 | 9/15 |
| Avellino | 1.6 | 1.4 | 6 | 6/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Benevento sit 7th in Serie B (7 points from 5 matches) and Avellino sit 9th (7 points from 5 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Benevento | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 5 | 7 |
| 9 | Avellino | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 6 | 7 |
A question about Benevento vs Avellino?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Benevento vs Avellino?
- The Footlab AI model makes Benevento the favourite at 57%, against 25% for a draw and 18% for Avellino.
- Where and when is Benevento vs Avellino played?
- Benevento vs Avellino is played on November 7, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at Stadio Ciro Vigorito, in the Serie B.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 50% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.9% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.