Carrarese vs Sampdoria: prediction and stats
Serie BRegular Season - 11Kick-off on November 7, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Stadio dei Marmi, Carrara
The Footlab AI model makes Carrarese the favourite at 39%, against 29% for a draw and 32% for Sampdoria. The most likely score is 1-1. If Carrarese wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.1% of the 3,247 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 24, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Carrarese vs Sampdoria?
A very open match: only 38 Elo points separate Carrarese (1,829) and Sampdoria (1,791).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Carrarese vs Sampdoria
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Carrarese
3-5-2- 9F. Abiuso
- 10T. Rubino
- 73J. Rouhi
- 18Nicolás Schiavi
- 77G. Parlanti
- 7N. Belloni
- 23M. Braunöder
- 6F. Oliana
- 13F. Ruggeri
- 33F. Reale
- 1S. Pizzignacco
Sampdoria
4-3-2-1- 9T. Lauritsen
- 6L. Henderson
- 45A. Makoumbou
- 16Y. Verschaeren
- 28O. Abildgaard
- 10L. Insigne
- 29A. Di Pardo
- 7M. Cicconi
- 15F. Delli Carri
- 3S. Gartenmann
- 1P. Vindahl
Computed on October 24, 2026 at 02:56 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Carrarese have 3 wins, 3 draws and 9 defeats; Sampdoria have 4, 3 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 17, 2026 | Modena(home) | 2-1 | Serie B |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Padova(away) | 2-0 | Serie B |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Benevento(home) | 0-1 | Serie B |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Catanzaro(away) | 0-1 | Serie B |
| Sep 5, 2026 | Empoli(home) | 0-1 | Serie B |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 18, 2026 | Arezzo(home) | 1-2 | Serie B |
| Oct 9, 2026 | Avellino(away) | 1-4 | Serie B |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Catanzaro(home) | 2-1 | Serie B |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Mantova(away) | 0-2 | Serie B |
| Sep 7, 2026 | Palermo(away) | 1-3 | Serie B |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 4 meetings: 2 Carrarese wins, 1 draw, 1 Sampdoria win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 18, 2026 | Carrarese 2-0 Sampdoria | Serie B |
| Dec 7, 2025 | Sampdoria 3-2 Carrarese | Serie B |
| Apr 25, 2025 | Carrarese 1-0 Sampdoria | Serie B |
| Dec 26, 2024 | Sampdoria 1-1 Carrarese | Serie B |
Last archived meeting: Carrarese vs Sampdoria on Mar 18, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Carrarese score 0.7 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Sampdoria score 0.9 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 44% probability of over 2.5 goals and 50% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Carrarese | 0.7 | 1.3 | 3 | 5/15 | 5/15 |
| Sampdoria | 0.9 | 1.3 | 5 | 7/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Carrarese sit 14th in Serie B (7 points from 7 matches) and Sampdoria sit 19th (4 points from 7 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | Carrarese | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 6 | 7 | 7 |
| 19 | Sampdoria | 7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 7 | 15 | 4 |
A question about Carrarese vs Sampdoria?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Carrarese vs Sampdoria?
- The Footlab AI model makes Carrarese the favourite at 39%, against 29% for a draw and 32% for Sampdoria.
- Where and when is Carrarese vs Sampdoria played?
- Carrarese vs Sampdoria is played on November 7, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at Stadio dei Marmi, in the Serie B.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 44% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.1% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.