Virtus Entella vs Empoli: prediction and stats
Serie BRegular Season - 15Kick-off on December 5, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Stadio Comunale Chiavari, Chiavari
The Footlab model makes Virtus Entella the favourite at 41%, against 28% for a draw and 31% for Empoli. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Virtus Entella vs Empoli?
A very open match: only 5 Elo points separate Virtus Entella (1,819) and Empoli (1,824).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Virtus Entella have 5 wins, 3 draws and 7 defeats; Empoli have 4, 7 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Sudtirol(away) | 0-1 | Serie B |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Hellas Verona(away) | 2-2 | Coppa Italia |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Carrarese(home) | 0-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 5, 2026 | Novara(home) | 2-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Empoli(away) | 0-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Cremonese(home) | 1-0 | Serie B |
| Aug 17, 2026 | Pisa(away) | 1-1 | Coppa Italia |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Livorno(away) | 1-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Spezia(home) | 1-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Virtus Entella(home) | 1-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Virtus Entella win(s), 1 draw(s), 3 Empoli win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jul 25, 2026 | Empoli 1-0 Virtus Entella | Friendlies Clubs |
| Apr 19, 2026 | Empoli 1-1 Virtus Entella | Serie B |
| Nov 1, 2025 | Virtus Entella 1-0 Empoli | Serie B |
| Jul 26, 2025 | Empoli 1-2 Virtus Entella | Friendlies Clubs |
| Mar 20, 2021 | Empoli 1-0 Virtus Entella | Serie B |
| Dec 12, 2020 | Virtus Entella 2-5 Empoli | Serie B |
Last archived meeting: Empoli vs Virtus Entella on Jul 25, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Virtus Entella score 0.9 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Empoli score 1.2 and concede 1.2. The model gives a 47% probability of over 2.5 goals and 53% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Virtus Entella | 0.9 | 1.1 | 3 | 6/15 | 6/15 |
| Empoli | 1.2 | 1.2 | 3 | 9/15 | 4/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Virtus Entella sit 19th in Serie B (0 points from 1 matches) and Empoli sit 9th (3 points from 1 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Empoli | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 |
| 19 | Virtus Entella | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Virtus Entella vs Empoli?
- The Footlab model makes Virtus Entella the favourite at 41%, against 28% for a draw and 31% for Empoli.
- Where and when is Virtus Entella vs Empoli played?
- Virtus Entella vs Empoli is played on December 5, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at Stadio Comunale Chiavari, in the Serie B.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 47% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.