Virtus Entella vs Empoli: prediction and stats
Serie BRegular Season - 15Kick-off on December 5, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Stadio Comunale Chiavari, Chiavari
The Footlab AI model makes Virtus Entella the favourite at 50%, against 27% for a draw and 23% for Empoli. The most likely score is 1-1. If Virtus Entella wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.6% of the 2,366 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 14, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Virtus Entella vs Empoli?
A very open match: only 34 Elo points separate Virtus Entella (1,832) and Empoli (1,798).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Virtus Entella vs Empoli
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Virtus Entella
3-5-2- 11Bernat Guiu
- 10L. Cuppone
- 24A. Franzoni
- 5N. Squizzato
- 8L. Vignali
- 80L. Benedetti
- 26Z. Menyhárt
- 23L. Parodi
- 27M. Alborghetti
- 6A. Tiritiello
- 22F. Del Frate
Empoli
3-5-2- 10E. Saporiti
- 11S. Shpendi
- 8L. Magnino
- 91N. Corrado
- 15J. Ceesay
- 39E. Biondini
- 21Gerard Yepes
- 33C. Cauz
- 25M. Curto
- 6S. Romagnoli
- 12J. Seghetti
Computed on October 14, 2026 at 01:50 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Virtus Entella have 4 wins, 6 draws and 5 defeats; Empoli have 4, 5 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Juve Stabia(home) | 1-1 | Serie B |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Cremonese(away) | 0-0 | Serie B |
| Sep 11, 2026 | Pisa(away) | 4-1 | Serie B |
| Sep 6, 2026 | Vicenza Virtus(home) | 2-2 | Serie B |
| Aug 29, 2026 | Cesena(home) | 1-2 | Serie B |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Palermo(home) | 2-4 | Serie B |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Modena(away) | 1-2 | Serie B |
| Sep 11, 2026 | Arezzo(home) | 0-1 | Serie B |
| Sep 5, 2026 | Carrarese(away) | 1-0 | Serie B |
| Aug 30, 2026 | Mantova(away) | 1-3 | Serie B |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Virtus Entella wins, 1 draw, 3 Empoli wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jul 25, 2026 | Empoli 1-0 Virtus Entella | Friendlies Clubs |
| Apr 19, 2026 | Empoli 1-1 Virtus Entella | Serie B |
| Nov 1, 2025 | Virtus Entella 1-0 Empoli | Serie B |
| Jul 26, 2025 | Empoli 1-2 Virtus Entella | Friendlies Clubs |
| Mar 20, 2021 | Empoli 1-0 Virtus Entella | Serie B |
| Dec 12, 2020 | Virtus Entella 2-5 Empoli | Serie B |
Last archived meeting: Empoli vs Virtus Entella on Jul 25, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Virtus Entella score 1.1 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Empoli score 0.9 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 46% probability of over 2.5 goals and 49% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Virtus Entella | 1.1 | 1.1 | 2 | 9/15 | 6/15 |
| Empoli | 0.9 | 1.3 | 4 | 8/15 | 4/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Virtus Entella sit 14th in Serie B (6 points from 6 matches) and Empoli sit 13th (6 points from 6 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Empoli | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 6 | 10 | 6 |
| 14 | Virtus Entella | 6 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 8 | 7 | 6 |
A question about Virtus Entella vs Empoli?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Virtus Entella vs Empoli?
- The Footlab AI model makes Virtus Entella the favourite at 50%, against 27% for a draw and 23% for Empoli.
- Where and when is Virtus Entella vs Empoli played?
- Virtus Entella vs Empoli is played on December 5, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at Stadio Comunale Chiavari, in the Serie B.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 46% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.6% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.