ASFA-Yennenga vs Douanes: prediction and stats
Ligue 1Regular Season - 7Kick-off on November 1, 2026 at 03:30 PM (UTC)Stade du 4 Août, Ouagadougou
The Footlab AI model makes Douanes the favourite at 44%, against 30% for a draw and 26% for ASFA-Yennenga. The most likely score is 1-1. If Douanes wins, the most likely score is 0-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 53.7% of the 3,756 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 28, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win ASFA-Yennenga vs Douanes?
A very open match: only 75 Elo points separate ASFA-Yennenga (1,567) and Douanes (1,642).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for ASFA-Yennenga vs Douanes
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
ASFA-Yennenga
Not enough data to predict the ASFA-Yennenga lineup.
Douanes
Not enough data to predict the Douanes lineup.
Computed on October 28, 2026 at 07:04 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, ASFA-Yennenga have 5 wins, 3 draws and 7 defeats; Douanes have 8, 2 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 24, 2026 | CFFEB(away) | 1-1 | Ligue 1 |
| Oct 18, 2026 | Réal du Faso(home) | 0-1 | Ligue 1 |
| Oct 12, 2026 | USFA(away) | 2-1 | Ligue 1 |
| Oct 3, 2026 | ASFB(home) | 2-0 | Ligue 1 |
| Sep 28, 2026 | Vitesse(away) | 0-1 | Ligue 1 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 25, 2026 | RCK(home) | 2-0 | Ligue 1 |
| Oct 18, 2026 | Salitas(away) | 4-1 | Ligue 1 |
| Oct 12, 2026 | Maya(home) | 2-1 | Ligue 1 |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Rahimo(away) | 2-1 | Ligue 1 |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Sporting Cascades(home) | 0-1 | Ligue 1 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 0 ASFA-Yennenga wins, 2 draws, 4 Douanes wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 22, 2026 | ASFA-Yennenga 0-1 Douanes | Ligue 1 |
| Nov 2, 2025 | Douanes 1-1 ASFA-Yennenga | Ligue 1 |
| May 10, 2025 | ASFA-Yennenga 0-1 Douanes | Ligue 1 |
| Oct 14, 2024 | Douanes 2-0 ASFA-Yennenga | Ligue 1 |
| May 4, 2024 | Douanes 1-0 ASFA-Yennenga | Ligue 1 |
| Oct 22, 2023 | ASFA-Yennenga 0-0 Douanes | Ligue 1 |
Last archived meeting: ASFA-Yennenga vs Douanes on Mar 22, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
ASFA-Yennenga score 1.0 and concede 1.0 goals per match over their last 15; Douanes score 1.2 and concede 0.9. The model gives a 37% probability of over 2.5 goals and 44% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ASFA-Yennenga | 1.0 | 1.0 | 4 | 5/15 | 4/15 |
| Douanes | 1.2 | 0.9 | 5 | 7/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
ASFA-Yennenga sit 5th in Ligue 1 (10 points from 6 matches) and Douanes sit 6th (9 points from 5 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | ASFA-Yennenga | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 4 | 10 |
| 6 | Douanes | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 5 | 9 |
A question about ASFA-Yennenga vs Douanes?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for ASFA-Yennenga vs Douanes?
- The Footlab AI model makes Douanes the favourite at 44%, against 30% for a draw and 26% for ASFA-Yennenga.
- Where and when is ASFA-Yennenga vs Douanes played?
- ASFA-Yennenga vs Douanes is played on November 1, 2026 at 03:30 PM (UTC) at Stade du 4 Août, in the Ligue 1.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 37% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 53.7% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.