SONABEL vs ASFB: prediction and stats
Ligue 1Regular Season - 7Kick-off on October 31, 2026 at 03:30 PM (UTC)Stade Dr Issoufou Joseph Conombo, Ouagadougou
The Footlab AI model makes SONABEL the favourite at 47%, against 28% for a draw and 25% for ASFB. The most likely score is 1-1. If SONABEL wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 53.7% of the 3,754 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 28, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win SONABEL vs ASFB?
A very open match: only 67 Elo points separate SONABEL (1,589) and ASFB (1,521).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for SONABEL vs ASFB
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
SONABEL
Not enough data to predict the SONABEL lineup.
ASFB
Not enough data to predict the ASFB lineup.
Computed on October 28, 2026 at 06:07 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, SONABEL have 4 wins, 3 draws and 8 defeats; ASFB have 4, 2 and 9.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 24, 2026 | Rahimo(away) | 0-1 | Ligue 1 |
| Oct 18, 2026 | Vitesse(home) | 0-1 | Ligue 1 |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Sporting Cascades(away) | 3-0 | Ligue 1 |
| Oct 5, 2026 | Comoé(home) | 2-0 | Ligue 1 |
| Sep 26, 2026 | FocuSport(away) | 2-3 | Ligue 1 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 25, 2026 | Vitesse(home) | 0-2 | Ligue 1 |
| Oct 17, 2026 | Comoé(away) | 4-2 | Ligue 1 |
| Oct 9, 2026 | Majestic(home) | 0-1 | Ligue 1 |
| Oct 3, 2026 | ASFA-Yennenga(away) | 0-2 | Ligue 1 |
| Sep 27, 2026 | RCK(home) | 1-0 | Ligue 1 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 SONABEL wins, 1 draw, 2 ASFB wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 3, 2026 | SONABEL 2-0 ASFB | Ligue 1 |
| Sep 27, 2025 | ASFB 1-0 SONABEL | Ligue 1 |
| Apr 11, 2025 | SONABEL 1-0 ASFB | Ligue 1 |
| Oct 31, 2024 | ASFB 0-0 SONABEL | Ligue 1 |
| Jun 14, 2024 | SONABEL 2-3 ASFB | Ligue 1 |
| Sep 2, 2023 | ASFB 0-1 SONABEL | Ligue 1 |
How many goals should we expect?
SONABEL score 1.0 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; ASFB score 0.9 and concede 1.6. The model gives a 43% probability of over 2.5 goals and 48% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SONABEL | 1.0 | 1.1 | 5 | 5/15 | 5/15 |
| ASFB | 0.9 | 1.6 | 3 | 5/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
SONABEL sit 12th in Ligue 1 (6 points from 6 matches) and ASFB sit 10th (7 points from 6 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | ASFB | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 7 | 9 | 7 |
| 12 | SONABEL | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 7 | 6 | 6 |
A question about SONABEL vs ASFB?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for SONABEL vs ASFB?
- The Footlab AI model makes SONABEL the favourite at 47%, against 28% for a draw and 25% for ASFB.
- Where and when is SONABEL vs ASFB played?
- SONABEL vs ASFB is played on October 31, 2026 at 03:30 PM (UTC) at Stade Dr Issoufou Joseph Conombo, in the Ligue 1.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 43% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 53.7% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.