Aşgabat vs Merw: result 5-1 and analysis
Ýokary LigaRegular Season - 11Kick-off on May 30, 2026 at 12:30 PM (UTC)Sportkompleks Gökje, Ashgabat
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What was the result of Aşgabat vs Merw?
Aşgabat won 5-1 on May 30, 2026.
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Aşgabat have 4 wins, 1 draw and 10 defeats; Merw have 3, 2 and 10.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 24, 2026 | Nebitci(home) | 1-0 | Ýokary Liga |
| May 20, 2026 | Şagadam(away) | 2-0 | Ýokary Liga |
| May 16, 2026 | Altyn Asyr(home) | 0-1 | Ýokary Liga |
| May 10, 2026 | Ahal(home) | 0-3 | Ýokary Liga |
| May 3, 2026 | Arkadag(away) | 0-3 | Ýokary Liga |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 24, 2026 | Ahal(home) | 1-3 | Ýokary Liga |
| May 20, 2026 | Nebitci(away) | 1-2 | Ýokary Liga |
| May 16, 2026 | Arkadag(home) | 0-7 | Ýokary Liga |
| May 10, 2026 | Şagadam(away) | 1-1 | Ýokary Liga |
| May 2, 2026 | Köpetdag Aşgabat(home) | 2-1 | Ýokary Liga |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Aşgabat wins, 1 draw, 2 Merw wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 22, 2026 | Merw 2-1 Aşgabat | Ýokary Liga |
| Oct 30, 2025 | Aşgabat 2-1 Merw | Ýokary Liga |
| Aug 15, 2025 | Merw 1-2 Aşgabat | Ýokary Liga |
| May 9, 2025 | Merw 2-0 Aşgabat | Ýokary Liga |
| Mar 14, 2025 | Aşgabat 0-0 Merw | Ýokary Liga |
| Nov 7, 2024 | Aşgabat 2-0 Merw | Ýokary Liga |
How many goals should we expect?
Aşgabat score 0.8 and concede 1.6 goals per match over their last 15; Merw score 1.1 and concede 2.7.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aşgabat | 0.8 | 1.6 | 2 | 7/15 | 8/15 |
| Merw | 1.1 | 2.7 | 1 | 10/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Aşgabat sit 7th in Ýokary Liga (15 points from 21 matches) and Merw sit 6th (18 points from 21 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Merw | 21 | 5 | 3 | 13 | 23 | 59 | 18 |
| 7 | Aşgabat | 21 | 4 | 3 | 14 | 25 | 48 | 15 |
A question about Aşgabat vs Merw?
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy