Ashton United vs Curzon Ashton: prediction and stats
Non League Premier - NorthernMatchday 26Kick-off on January 2, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Hurst Cross, Ashton-under-Lyne, Greater Manchester
The Footlab AI model makes Curzon Ashton the favourite at 42%, against 27% for a draw and 31% for Ashton United. The most likely score is 1-1. If Curzon Ashton wins, the most likely score is 0-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.1% of the 5,620 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Nov 13, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Ashton United vs Curzon Ashton?
A very open match: only 98 Elo points separate Ashton United (1,650) and Curzon Ashton (1,748).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Ashton United vs Curzon Ashton
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Ashton United
Not enough data to predict the Ashton United lineup.
Curzon Ashton
4-3-3- 9J. Spencer
- 7I. Buckley-Ricketts
- 17M. Afuye
- 4M. Poscha
- 11W. Hayhurst
- 11I. Sinclair
- 2Oluwatimilehin Sobowale
- 19J. Richards
- 15M. Litherland
- 3Luis Frances John Lacey
- 13J. Ollerenshaw
Computed on November 13, 2026 at 05:14 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Ashton United have 4 wins, 3 draws and 8 defeats; Curzon Ashton have 11, 1 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 7, 2026 | Workington(away) | 1-0 | Non League Premier - Northern |
| Nov 3, 2026 | Warrington Town(home) | 0-1 | Non League Premier - Northern |
| Oct 31, 2026 | Rylands(home) | 1-2 | Non League Premier - Northern |
| Oct 24, 2026 | Redcar Athletic(home) | 1-0 | FA Trophy |
| Oct 21, 2026 | Avro(away) | 2-3 | Non League Premier - Northern |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 10, 2026 | Ilkeston Town(home) | 1-0 | Non League Premier - Northern |
| Nov 7, 2026 | Stockton Town(away) | 1-0 | Non League Premier - Northern |
| Nov 3, 2026 | United of Manchester(home) | 1-0 | Non League Premier - Northern |
| Oct 31, 2026 | Leek Town(home) | 2-1 | Non League Premier - Northern |
| Oct 27, 2026 | Gainsborough Trinity(away) | 3-0 | Non League Premier - Northern |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 1 Ashton United win, 0 draws, 1 Curzon Ashton win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 31, 2026 | Curzon Ashton 2-0 Ashton United | Non League Premier - Northern |
| Jul 9, 2022 | Ashton United 2-0 Curzon Ashton | Friendlies Clubs |
Last archived meeting: Curzon Ashton vs Ashton United on Aug 31, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Ashton United score 1.3 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Curzon Ashton score 1.8 and concede 0.9. The model gives a 51% probability of over 2.5 goals and 55% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ashton United | 1.3 | 1.5 | 3 | 8/15 | 8/15 |
| Curzon Ashton | 1.8 | 0.9 | 7 | 7/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Ashton United sit 18th in Non League Premier - Northern (17 points from 17 matches) and Curzon Ashton sit 2nd (37 points from 18 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Curzon Ashton | 18 | 12 | 1 | 5 | 32 | 18 | 37 |
| 18 | Ashton United | 17 | 4 | 5 | 8 | 19 | 21 | 17 |
A question about Ashton United vs Curzon Ashton?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Ashton United vs Curzon Ashton?
- The Footlab AI model makes Curzon Ashton the favourite at 42%, against 27% for a draw and 31% for Ashton United.
- Where and when is Ashton United vs Curzon Ashton played?
- Ashton United vs Curzon Ashton is played on January 2, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Hurst Cross, in the Non League Premier - Northern.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 51% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.1% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.