Warrington Town vs Leek Town: prediction and stats
Non League Premier - NorthernRegular Season - 26Kick-off on January 2, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Cal.Delivery Stadium, Latchford, Warrington
The Footlab model makes Warrington Town the favourite at 40%, against 28% for a draw and 32% for Leek Town. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Warrington Town vs Leek Town?
A very open match: only 71 Elo points separate Warrington Town (1,706) and Leek Town (1,777).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Warrington Town have 4 wins, 3 draws and 8 defeats; Leek Town have 8, 4 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Whitby Town(away) | 5-0 | Non League Premier - Northern |
| Aug 18, 2026 | Ilkeston Town(away) | 2-1 | Non League Premier - Northern |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Cleethorpes Town(home) | 1-1 | Non League Premier - Northern |
| Aug 11, 2026 | Hyde United(home) | 3-0 | Non League Premier - Northern |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Guiseley AFC(away) | 2-1 | Non League Premier - Northern |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Bamber Bridge(home) | 4-1 | Non League Premier - Northern |
| Aug 18, 2026 | AFC Emley(home) | 1-2 | Non League Premier - Northern |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Stockton Town(away) | 1-1 | Non League Premier - Northern |
| Aug 11, 2026 | United of Manchester(away) | 1-1 | Non League Premier - Northern |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Whitby Town(home) | 1-2 | Non League Premier - Northern |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 3 meetings: 0 Warrington Town win(s), 1 draw(s), 2 Leek Town win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jan 1, 2026 | Warrington Town 1-1 Leek Town | Non League Premier - Northern |
| Aug 25, 2025 | Leek Town 3-1 Warrington Town | Non League Premier - Northern |
| Sep 15, 2012 | Warrington Town 1-2 Leek Town | FA Trophy |
Last archived meeting: Warrington Town vs Leek Town on Jan 1, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Warrington Town score 1.3 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Leek Town score 1.5 and concede 1.0. The model gives a 48% probability of over 2.5 goals and 54% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Warrington Town | 1.3 | 1.3 | 3 | 8/15 | 8/15 |
| Leek Town | 1.5 | 1.0 | 5 | 9/15 | 5/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Warrington Town sit 2nd in Non League Premier - Northern (13 points from 5 matches) and Leek Town sit 15th (5 points from 5 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Warrington Town | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 13 | 3 | 13 |
| 15 | Leek Town | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 7 | 5 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Warrington Town vs Leek Town?
- The Footlab model makes Warrington Town the favourite at 40%, against 28% for a draw and 32% for Leek Town.
- Where and when is Warrington Town vs Leek Town played?
- Warrington Town vs Leek Town is played on January 2, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Cal.Delivery Stadium, in the Non League Premier - Northern.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 48% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.