Workington vs Lancaster City: prediction and stats
Non League Premier - NorthernRegular Season - 26Kick-off on January 2, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Borough Park, Workington, Cumbria
The Footlab AI model makes Workington the favourite at 49%, against 24% for a draw and 27% for Lancaster City. The most likely score is 1-1. If Workington wins, the most likely score is 2-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.8% of the 2,451 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 16, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Workington vs Lancaster City?
A very open match: only 4 Elo points separate Workington (1,791) and Lancaster City (1,787).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Workington vs Lancaster City
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Workington
Not enough data to predict the Workington lineup.
Lancaster City
Not enough data to predict the Lancaster City lineup.
Computed on October 16, 2026 at 09:48 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Workington have 8 wins, 3 draws and 4 defeats; Lancaster City have 6, 3 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 13, 2026 | Whitby Town(home) | 1-2 | Non League Premier - Northern |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Quorn(away) | 0-3 | Non League Premier - Northern |
| Oct 6, 2026 | Warrington Town(away) | 2-2 | Non League Premier - Northern |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Cleethorpes Town(home) | 1-1 | Non League Premier - Northern |
| Sep 29, 2026 | AFC Emley(away) | 3-1 | Non League Premier - Northern |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 13, 2026 | Stockton Town(home) | 1-0 | Non League Premier - Northern |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Warrington Town(away) | 2-2 | Non League Premier - Northern |
| Oct 7, 2026 | Avro(away) | 3-5 | Non League Premier - Northern |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Ilkeston Town(home) | 2-1 | Non League Premier - Northern |
| Sep 29, 2026 | Whitby Town(away) | 2-1 | Non League Premier - Northern |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Workington win, 4 draws, 1 Lancaster City win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 31, 2026 | Lancaster City 0-3 Workington | Non League Premier - Northern |
| Jan 1, 2026 | Workington 1-1 Lancaster City | Non League Premier - Northern |
| Aug 25, 2025 | Lancaster City 2-0 Workington | Non League Premier - Northern |
| Dec 21, 2024 | Lancaster City 1-1 Workington | Non League Premier - Northern |
| Aug 13, 2024 | Workington 1-1 Lancaster City | Non League Premier - Northern |
| Feb 17, 2024 | Lancaster City 1-1 Workington | Non League Premier - Northern |
Last archived meeting: Lancaster City vs Workington on Aug 31, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Workington score 2.1 and concede 1.9 goals per match over their last 15; Lancaster City score 1.3 and concede 1.8. The model gives a 62% probability of over 2.5 goals and 63% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Workington | 2.1 | 1.9 | 2 | 12/15 | 14/15 |
| Lancaster City | 1.3 | 1.8 | 3 | 9/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Workington sit 9th in Non League Premier - Northern (21 points from 14 matches) and Lancaster City sit 10th (20 points from 14 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Workington | 14 | 6 | 3 | 5 | 24 | 24 | 21 |
| 10 | Lancaster City | 14 | 6 | 2 | 6 | 19 | 26 | 20 |
A question about Workington vs Lancaster City?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Workington vs Lancaster City?
- The Footlab AI model makes Workington the favourite at 49%, against 24% for a draw and 27% for Lancaster City.
- Where and when is Workington vs Lancaster City played?
- Workington vs Lancaster City is played on January 2, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Borough Park, in the Non League Premier - Northern.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 62% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.8% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.