Ashton United vs Leek Town: prediction and stats
Non League Premier - NorthernRegular Season - 34Kick-off on February 27, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Hurst Cross, Ashton-under-Lyne, Greater Manchester
The Footlab AI model makes Leek Town the favourite at 39%, against 26% for a draw and 35% for Ashton United. The most likely score is 1-1. If Leek Town wins, the most likely score is 1-2.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 53.9% of the 5,153 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Nov 9, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Ashton United vs Leek Town?
A very open match: only 50 Elo points separate Ashton United (1,675) and Leek Town (1,725).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Ashton United vs Leek Town
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Ashton United
Not enough data to predict the Ashton United lineup.
Leek Town
Not enough data to predict the Leek Town lineup.
Computed on November 9, 2026 at 01:25 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Ashton United have 4 wins, 3 draws and 8 defeats; Leek Town have 6, 2 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 7, 2026 | Workington(away) | 1-0 | Non League Premier - Northern |
| Nov 3, 2026 | Warrington Town(home) | 0-1 | Non League Premier - Northern |
| Oct 31, 2026 | Rylands(home) | 1-2 | Non League Premier - Northern |
| Oct 24, 2026 | Redcar Athletic(home) | 1-0 | FA Trophy |
| Oct 21, 2026 | Avro(away) | 2-3 | Non League Premier - Northern |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 7, 2026 | Ilkeston Town(home) | 3-2 | Non League Premier - Northern |
| Nov 3, 2026 | Guiseley AFC(away) | 1-4 | Non League Premier - Northern |
| Oct 31, 2026 | Curzon Ashton(away) | 1-2 | Non League Premier - Northern |
| Oct 27, 2026 | Bury(away) | 3-5 | Non League Premier - Northern |
| Oct 24, 2026 | Bootle(home) | 4-1 | FA Trophy |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 5 meetings: 1 Ashton United win, 1 draw, 3 Leek Town wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Leek Town 2-2 Ashton United | Non League Premier - Northern |
| Mar 7, 2026 | Ashton United 0-1 Leek Town | Non League Premier - Northern |
| Nov 11, 2025 | Leek Town 2-0 Ashton United | Non League Premier - Northern |
| Mar 22, 2025 | Leek Town 3-1 Ashton United | Non League Premier - Northern |
| Nov 16, 2024 | Ashton United 1-0 Leek Town | Non League Premier - Northern |
Last archived meeting: Leek Town vs Ashton United on Oct 10, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Ashton United score 1.3 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Leek Town score 2.3 and concede 2.1. The model gives a 57% probability of over 2.5 goals and 60% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ashton United | 1.3 | 1.5 | 3 | 8/15 | 8/15 |
| Leek Town | 2.3 | 2.1 | 2 | 13/15 | 14/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Ashton United sit 17th in Non League Premier - Northern (17 points from 17 matches) and Leek Town sit 18th (17 points from 17 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 | Ashton United | 17 | 4 | 5 | 8 | 19 | 21 | 17 |
| 18 | Leek Town | 17 | 4 | 5 | 8 | 34 | 39 | 17 |
A question about Ashton United vs Leek Town?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Ashton United vs Leek Town?
- The Footlab AI model makes Leek Town the favourite at 39%, against 26% for a draw and 35% for Ashton United.
- Where and when is Ashton United vs Leek Town played?
- Ashton United vs Leek Town is played on February 27, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Hurst Cross, in the Non League Premier - Northern.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 57% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 53.9% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.