Gainsborough Trinity vs AFC Emley: prediction and stats
Non League Premier - NorthernRegular Season - 34Kick-off on February 27, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Kal Group Stadium, Gainsborough, Lincolnshire
The Footlab AI model makes Gainsborough Trinity the favourite at 56%, against 24% for a draw and 20% for AFC Emley. The most likely score is 1-1. If Gainsborough Trinity wins, the most likely score is 2-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.7% of the 2,532 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 17, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Gainsborough Trinity vs AFC Emley?
Gainsborough Trinity starts as the favourite with a 148-point Elo edge (1,854 vs 1,706).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Gainsborough Trinity vs AFC Emley
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Gainsborough Trinity
Not enough data to predict the Gainsborough Trinity lineup.
AFC Emley
Not enough data to predict the AFC Emley lineup.
Computed on October 17, 2026 at 01:08 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Gainsborough Trinity have 8 wins, 2 draws and 5 defeats; AFC Emley have 3, 5 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 13, 2026 | Ilkeston Town(home) | 3-1 | Non League Premier - Northern |
| Oct 10, 2026 | AFC Emley(away) | 2-1 | Non League Premier - Northern |
| Oct 6, 2026 | Whitby Town(away) | 6-2 | Non League Premier - Northern |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Anstey Nomads(home) | 2-3 | FA Cup |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Bury(away) | 3-4 | FA Trophy |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 13, 2026 | United of Manchester(away) | 1-1 | Non League Premier - Northern |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Gainsborough Trinity(home) | 1-2 | Non League Premier - Northern |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Rylands(away) | 1-4 | Non League Premier - Northern |
| Sep 29, 2026 | Workington(home) | 1-3 | Non League Premier - Northern |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Bootle(away) | 0-5 | FA Trophy |
What does the head-to-head say?
In the last meeting: 1 Gainsborough Trinity win, 0 draws, 0 AFC Emley wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | AFC Emley 1-2 Gainsborough Trinity | Non League Premier - Northern |
Last archived meeting: AFC Emley vs Gainsborough Trinity on Oct 10, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Gainsborough Trinity score 2.3 and concede 1.6 goals per match over their last 15; AFC Emley score 0.9 and concede 2.2. The model gives a 55% probability of over 2.5 goals and 55% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gainsborough Trinity | 2.3 | 1.6 | 2 | 10/15 | 12/15 |
| AFC Emley | 0.9 | 2.2 | 2 | 9/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Gainsborough Trinity sit 6th in Non League Premier - Northern (22 points from 12 matches) and AFC Emley sit 19th (11 points from 13 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Gainsborough Trinity | 12 | 7 | 1 | 4 | 25 | 16 | 22 |
| 19 | AFC Emley | 13 | 2 | 5 | 6 | 12 | 25 | 11 |
A question about Gainsborough Trinity vs AFC Emley?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Gainsborough Trinity vs AFC Emley?
- The Footlab AI model makes Gainsborough Trinity the favourite at 56%, against 24% for a draw and 20% for AFC Emley.
- Where and when is Gainsborough Trinity vs AFC Emley played?
- Gainsborough Trinity vs AFC Emley is played on February 27, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Kal Group Stadium, in the Non League Premier - Northern.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 55% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.7% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.