Lancaster City vs Warrington Town: prediction and stats
Non League Premier - NorthernRegular Season - 34Kick-off on February 27, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Giant Axe Stadium, Lancaster, Lancashire
The Footlab model makes Lancaster City the favourite at 43%, against 26% for a draw and 31% for Warrington Town. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Lancaster City vs Warrington Town?
A very open match: only 39 Elo points separate Lancaster City (1,745) and Warrington Town (1,706).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Lancaster City have 5 wins, 5 draws and 5 defeats; Warrington Town have 4, 3 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Quorn(home) | 2-2 | Non League Premier - Northern |
| Aug 18, 2026 | Redcar Athletic(away) | 1-3 | Non League Premier - Northern |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Hyde United(home) | 1-2 | Non League Premier - Northern |
| Aug 11, 2026 | Rylands(home) | 1-0 | Non League Premier - Northern |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Ashton United(away) | 1-4 | Non League Premier - Northern |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Whitby Town(away) | 5-0 | Non League Premier - Northern |
| Aug 18, 2026 | Ilkeston Town(away) | 2-1 | Non League Premier - Northern |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Cleethorpes Town(home) | 1-1 | Non League Premier - Northern |
| Aug 11, 2026 | Hyde United(home) | 3-0 | Non League Premier - Northern |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Guiseley AFC(away) | 2-1 | Non League Premier - Northern |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 0 Lancaster City win(s), 0 draw(s), 6 Warrington Town win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 7, 2026 | Lancaster City 1-2 Warrington Town | Non League Premier - Northern |
| Oct 25, 2025 | Warrington Town 3-2 Lancaster City | Non League Premier - Northern |
| Feb 7, 2023 | Warrington Town 2-0 Lancaster City | Non League Premier - Northern |
| Oct 18, 2022 | Lancaster City 0-1 Warrington Town | Non League Premier - Northern |
| Dec 4, 2021 | Warrington Town 5-1 Lancaster City | Non League Premier - Northern |
| Sep 7, 2021 | Lancaster City 0-1 Warrington Town | Non League Premier - Northern |
Last archived meeting: Lancaster City vs Warrington Town on Mar 7, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Lancaster City score 1.5 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Warrington Town score 1.3 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 56% probability of over 2.5 goals and 59% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lancaster City | 1.5 | 1.5 | 5 | 10/15 | 10/15 |
| Warrington Town | 1.3 | 1.3 | 3 | 8/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Lancaster City sit 18th in Non League Premier - Northern (4 points from 5 matches) and Warrington Town sit 2nd (13 points from 5 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Warrington Town | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 13 | 3 | 13 |
| 18 | Lancaster City | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 11 | 4 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Lancaster City vs Warrington Town?
- The Footlab model makes Lancaster City the favourite at 43%, against 26% for a draw and 31% for Warrington Town.
- Where and when is Lancaster City vs Warrington Town played?
- Lancaster City vs Warrington Town is played on February 27, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Giant Axe Stadium, in the Non League Premier - Northern.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 56% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.