Leek Town vs Lancaster City: prediction and stats
Non League Premier - NorthernRegular Season - 35Kick-off on March 6, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)F. Ball Community Stadium, Leek, Staffordshire
The Footlab AI model makes Leek Town the favourite at 52%, against 23% for a draw and 25% for Lancaster City. The most likely score is 1-1. If Leek Town wins, the most likely score is 2-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 53.5% of the 3,515 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 25, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Leek Town vs Lancaster City?
On Elo ratings, Leek Town has 1,933 points and Lancaster City 1,840.
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Leek Town vs Lancaster City
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Leek Town
Not enough data to predict the Leek Town lineup.
Lancaster City
Not enough data to predict the Lancaster City lineup.
Computed on October 25, 2026 at 02:04 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Leek Town have 6 wins, 4 draws and 5 defeats; Lancaster City have 6, 2 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 24, 2026 | Bootle(home) | 4-1 | FA Trophy |
| Oct 17, 2026 | Lancaster City(away) | 2-1 | Non League Premier - Northern |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Ashton United(home) | 2-2 | Non League Premier - Northern |
| Oct 6, 2026 | Rylands(home) | 3-3 | Non League Premier - Northern |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Worcester City(away) | 2-0 | FA Trophy |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 24, 2026 | AFC Emley(away) | 0-1 | Non League Premier - Northern |
| Oct 17, 2026 | Leek Town(home) | 1-2 | Non League Premier - Northern |
| Oct 13, 2026 | Stockton Town(home) | 1-0 | Non League Premier - Northern |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Warrington Town(away) | 2-2 | Non League Premier - Northern |
| Oct 7, 2026 | Avro(away) | 3-5 | Non League Premier - Northern |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 5 meetings: 3 Leek Town wins, 0 draws, 2 Lancaster City wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Oct 17, 2026 | Lancaster City 1-2 Leek Town | Non League Premier - Northern |
| Feb 14, 2026 | Lancaster City 2-1 Leek Town | Non League Premier - Northern |
| Oct 11, 2025 | Leek Town 0-1 Lancaster City | Non League Premier - Northern |
| Jan 18, 2025 | Leek Town 2-1 Lancaster City | Non League Premier - Northern |
| Oct 1, 2024 | Lancaster City 0-1 Leek Town | Non League Premier - Northern |
Last archived meeting: Lancaster City vs Leek Town on Oct 17, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Leek Town score 2.4 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Lancaster City score 1.2 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 63% probability of over 2.5 goals and 63% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Leek Town | 2.4 | 1.7 | 2 | 13/15 | 13/15 |
| Lancaster City | 1.2 | 1.7 | 3 | 8/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Leek Town sit 16th in Non League Premier - Northern (14 points from 13 matches) and Lancaster City sit 11th (20 points from 16 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Lancaster City | 16 | 6 | 2 | 8 | 20 | 29 | 20 |
| 16 | Leek Town | 13 | 3 | 5 | 5 | 26 | 26 | 14 |
A question about Leek Town vs Lancaster City?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Leek Town vs Lancaster City?
- The Footlab AI model makes Leek Town the favourite at 52%, against 23% for a draw and 25% for Lancaster City.
- Where and when is Leek Town vs Lancaster City played?
- Leek Town vs Lancaster City is played on March 6, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at F. Ball Community Stadium, in the Non League Premier - Northern.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 63% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 53.5% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.