Asker vs Bærum: prediction and stats
3. Division - Girone 1Regular Season - 23Kick-off on October 10, 2026 at 12:00 PM (UTC)Føyka Kunstgress, Asker
The Footlab model makes Asker the favourite at 56%, against 17% for a draw and 27% for Bærum. The most likely score is 3-2.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Asker vs Bærum?
A very open match: only 35 Elo points separate Asker (1,785) and Bærum (1,749).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Asker have 13 wins, 1 draws and 1 defeats; Bærum have 9, 1 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Kvik Halden(home) | 7-0 | NM Cupen |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Heming(away) | 5-2 | 3. Division - Girone 1 |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Vålerenga II(home) | 5-4 | 3. Division - Girone 1 |
| Aug 2, 2026 | IF Ready(home) | 3-0 | 3. Division - Girone 1 |
| Jul 27, 2026 | Union Carl Berner(away) | 2-1 | 3. Division - Girone 1 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Mjondalen(home) | 4-0 | NM Cupen |
| Aug 15, 2026 | SF Grei(away) | 7-1 | 3. Division - Girone 1 |
| Aug 10, 2026 | KFUM II(home) | 5-1 | 3. Division - Girone 1 |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Heming(away) | 1-3 | 3. Division - Girone 1 |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Vålerenga II(home) | 6-3 | 3. Division - Girone 1 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Asker win(s), 0 draw(s), 3 Bærum win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 16, 2026 | Bærum 2-4 Asker | 3. Division - Girone 1 |
| Mar 16, 2025 | Bærum 4-0 Asker | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 17, 2024 | Asker 0-1 Bærum | 3. Division - Girone 3 |
| May 20, 2024 | Bærum 1-4 Asker | 3. Division - Girone 3 |
| May 24, 2023 | Asker 0-2 Bærum | NM Cupen |
| Mar 25, 2023 | Bærum 1-3 Asker | Friendlies Clubs |
How many goals should we expect?
Asker score 3.5 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Bærum score 3.5 and concede 1.9. The model gives a 90% probability of over 2.5 goals and 85% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Asker | 3.5 | 1.3 | 6 | 8/15 | 14/15 |
| Bærum | 3.5 | 1.9 | 2 | 12/15 | 13/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Asker sit 1st in 3. Division - Girone 1 (43 points from 16 matches) and Bærum sit 3rd (31 points from 16 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Asker | 16 | 14 | 1 | 1 | 55 | 20 | 43 |
| 3 | Bærum | 16 | 10 | 1 | 5 | 56 | 29 | 31 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Asker vs Bærum?
- The Footlab model makes Asker the favourite at 56%, against 17% for a draw and 27% for Bærum.
- Where and when is Asker vs Bærum played?
- Asker vs Bærum is played on October 10, 2026 at 12:00 PM (UTC) at Føyka Kunstgress, in the 3. Division - Girone 1.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 90% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.