ASKO vs Derby Academie: prediction and stats
Première DivisionRegular Season - 1Kick-off on November 2, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Stade Omnisports Modibo Keïta, Bamako
The Footlab AI model makes Derby Academie the favourite at 39%, against 31% for a draw and 30% for ASKO. The most likely score is 1-1. If Derby Academie wins, the most likely score is 0-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 53.7% of the 3,771 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 28, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win ASKO vs Derby Academie?
A very open match: only 10 Elo points separate ASKO (1,592) and Derby Academie (1,581).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for ASKO vs Derby Academie
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
ASKO
Not enough data to predict the ASKO lineup.
Derby Academie
Not enough data to predict the Derby Academie lineup.
Computed on October 28, 2026 at 08:02 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, ASKO have 5 wins, 2 draws and 8 defeats; Derby Academie have 4, 7 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 14, 2026 | Djoliba(home) | 1-3 | Première Division |
| Jun 10, 2026 | Afrique Football Élite(away) | 3-5 | Première Division |
| Jun 4, 2026 | Derby Academie(home) | 2-0 | Première Division |
| May 31, 2026 | Réal Bamako(home) | 1-0 | Première Division |
| May 25, 2026 | Diarra(away) | 0-0 | Première Division |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 14, 2026 | Afrique Football Élite(away) | 1-2 | Première Division |
| Jun 10, 2026 | Mali Coura(home) | 2-2 | Première Division |
| Jun 4, 2026 | ASKO(away) | 0-2 | Première Division |
| May 31, 2026 | Bougouni(home) | 2-1 | Première Division |
| May 25, 2026 | Réal Bamako(away) | 0-1 | Première Division |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 1 ASKO win, 1 draw, 0 Derby Academie wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jun 4, 2026 | ASKO 2-0 Derby Academie | Première Division |
| Jan 26, 2026 | Derby Academie 0-0 ASKO | Première Division |
Last archived meeting: ASKO vs Derby Academie on Jun 4, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
ASKO score 0.9 and concede 1.4 goals per match over their last 15; Derby Academie score 1.0 and concede 0.9. The model gives a 38% probability of over 2.5 goals and 45% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ASKO | 0.9 | 1.4 | 5 | 5/15 | 5/15 |
| Derby Academie | 1.0 | 0.9 | 5 | 7/15 | 4/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
ASKO sit 7th in Première Division (33 points from 26 matches) and Derby Academie sit 9th (29 points from 26 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | ASKO | 26 | 9 | 6 | 11 | 28 | 31 | 33 |
| 9 | Derby Academie | 26 | 5 | 14 | 7 | 19 | 22 | 29 |
A question about ASKO vs Derby Academie?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for ASKO vs Derby Academie?
- The Footlab AI model makes Derby Academie the favourite at 39%, against 31% for a draw and 30% for ASKO.
- Where and when is ASKO vs Derby Academie played?
- ASKO vs Derby Academie is played on November 2, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Stade Omnisports Modibo Keïta, in the Première Division.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 38% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 53.7% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.