Binga vs USFAS Bamako: prediction and stats
Première DivisionRegular Season - 1Kick-off on November 1, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)
The Footlab AI model makes Binga the favourite at 41%, against 29% for a draw and 30% for USFAS Bamako. The most likely score is 1-1. If Binga wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 53.6% of the 3,802 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 28, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Binga vs USFAS Bamako?
A very open match: only 4 Elo points separate Binga (1,704) and USFAS Bamako (1,700).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Binga vs USFAS Bamako
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Binga
Not enough data to predict the Binga lineup.
USFAS Bamako
Not enough data to predict the USFAS Bamako lineup.
Computed on October 28, 2026 at 08:52 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Binga have 5 wins, 4 draws and 6 defeats; USFAS Bamako have 7, 3 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 13, 2026 | Onze Créateurs(home) | 0-0 | Première Division |
| Jun 9, 2026 | Stade Malien Bamako(away) | 1-2 | Première Division |
| Jun 5, 2026 | US Bougouba(home) | 0-1 | Première Division |
| Jun 2, 2026 | Djoliba(away) | 1-2 | Première Division |
| May 24, 2026 | Afrique Football Élite(away) | 1-0 | Première Division |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 14, 2026 | Mali Coura(home) | 2-1 | Première Division |
| Jun 9, 2026 | Bougouni(away) | 1-2 | Première Division |
| Jun 4, 2026 | Onze Créateurs(home) | 3-0 | Première Division |
| May 31, 2026 | Stade Malien Bamako(away) | 2-2 | Première Division |
| May 25, 2026 | US Bougouba(home) | 0-2 | Première Division |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Binga wins, 1 draw, 2 USFAS Bamako wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 18, 2026 | USFAS Bamako 0-0 Binga | Première Division |
| Dec 5, 2025 | Binga 1-2 USFAS Bamako | Première Division |
| May 25, 2025 | Binga 5-2 USFAS Bamako | Première Division |
| Feb 1, 2025 | USFAS Bamako 3-2 Binga | Première Division |
| Apr 4, 2024 | Binga 1-0 USFAS Bamako | Première Division |
| Dec 2, 2023 | USFAS Bamako 0-1 Binga | Première Division |
Last archived meeting: USFAS Bamako vs Binga on Mar 18, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Binga score 0.7 and concede 0.5 goals per match over their last 15; USFAS Bamako score 1.5 and concede 1.2. The model gives a 43% probability of over 2.5 goals and 49% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Binga | 0.7 | 0.5 | 9 | 2/15 | 3/15 |
| USFAS Bamako | 1.5 | 1.2 | 4 | 9/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Binga sit 5th in Première Division (43 points from 26 matches) and USFAS Bamako sit 6th (42 points from 26 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Binga | 26 | 12 | 7 | 7 | 28 | 15 | 43 |
| 6 | USFAS Bamako | 26 | 12 | 6 | 8 | 37 | 27 | 42 |
A question about Binga vs USFAS Bamako?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Binga vs USFAS Bamako?
- The Footlab AI model makes Binga the favourite at 41%, against 29% for a draw and 30% for USFAS Bamako.
- Where and when is Binga vs USFAS Bamako played?
- Binga vs USFAS Bamako is played on November 1, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC), in the Première Division.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 43% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 53.6% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.